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We focus on solving the univariate times series point forecasting problem using deep learning. We propose a deep neural architecture based on backward and forward residual links and a very deep stack of fully-connected layers. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Boris N. Oreshkin , Dmitri Carpov , Nicolas Chapados , Yoshua Bengio

This paper presents an enhanced N-BEATS model, N-BEATS*, for improved mid-term electricity load forecasting (MTLF). Building on the strengths of the original N-BEATS architecture, which excels in handling complex time series data without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Mateusz Kasprzyk , Paweł Pełka , Boris N. Oreshkin , Grzegorz Dudek

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

We study the problem of efficiently scaling ensemble-based deep neural networks for multi-step time series (TS) forecasting on a large set of time series. Current state-of-the-art deep ensemble models have high memory and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Philippe Chatigny , Shengrui Wang , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Boris N. Oreshkin

We extend the neural basis expansion analysis (NBEATS) to incorporate exogenous factors. The resulting method, called NBEATSx, improves on a well performing deep learning model, extending its capabilities by including exogenous variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Kin G. Olivares , Cristian Challu , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Rafał Weron , Artur Dubrawski

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

In the rapidly evolving field of financial forecasting, the application of neural networks presents a compelling advancement over traditional statistical models. This research paper explores the effectiveness of two specific neural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Mohit Apte , Yashodhara Haribhakta

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Conducting causal inference with panel data is a core challenge in social science research. We adapt a deep neural architecture for time series forecasting (the N-BEATS algorithm) to more accurately impute the counterfactual evolution of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Jacob Goldin , Julian Nyarko , Justin Young

Neural forecasting has shown significant improvements in the accuracy of large-scale systems, yet predicting extremely long horizons remains a challenging task. Two common problems are the volatility of the predictions and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Cristian Challu , Kin G. Olivares , Gus Welter , Artur Dubrawski

Although demand forecasting is a critical component of supply chain planning, actual retail data can exhibit irreconcilable seasonality, irregular spikes, and noise, rendering precise projections nearly unattainable. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Khai Banh Nghiep , Duc Nguyen Minh , Lan Hoang Thi

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Julia Lin , Derek W. Bunn , Jochen Stiasny , Wentao Wang , Yujie Chen , Tara Esterl , Peter Palensky , Jochen L. Cremer

Recent years have witnessed exponential growth in developing deep learning (DL) models for time-series electricity forecasting in power systems. However, most of the proposed models are designed based on the designers' inherent knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jin Yang , Guangxin Jiang , Yinan Wang , Ying Chen

Power demand forecasting is a critical task for achieving efficiency and reliability in power grid operation. Accurate forecasting allows grid operators to better maintain the balance of supply and demand as well as to optimize operational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Yao Cheng , Chang Xu , Daisuke Mashima , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing , Yongdong Wu

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Millend Roy , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

Recently there has been significant research on power generation, distribution and transmission efficiency especially in the case of renewable resources. The main objective is reduction of energy losses and this requires improvements on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-17 Stefan Hosein , Patrick Hosein

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel
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