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With the significant rise in demand for same-day instant deliveries, several courier services are exploring alternatives to transport packages in a cost- and time-effective, as well as, sustainable manner. Motivated by a real-life case…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Suchithra Rajendran , Aidan Harper

Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Richard A. Caruana

Efficient timing in ride-matching is crucial for improving the performance of ride-hailing and ride-pooling services, as it determines the number of drivers and passengers considered in each matching process. Traditional batched matching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yiman Bao , Jie Gao , Jinke He , Frans A. Oliehoek , Oded Cats

Boosting algorithms to simultaneously estimate and select predictor effects in statistical models have gained substantial interest during the last decade. This review article aims to highlight recent methodological developments regarding…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-19 Andreas Mayr , Harald Binder , Olaf Gefeller , Matthias Schmid

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

Needless to say, linear dynamics are pervasive in economic time series, particularly autoregressive ones. While gradient boosting with trees excels at capturing nonlinearities, it is inefficient in small samples when much of the predictive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

Travel time estimation is an important component in modern transportation applications. The state of the art techniques for travel time estimation use GPS traces to learn the weights of a road network, often modeled as a directed graph,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-18 Sofiane Abbar , Rade Stanojevic , Mohamed Mokbel

We consider the transmission of packets across a lossy end-to-end network path so as to achieve low in-order delivery delay. This can be formulated as a decision problem, namely deciding whether the next packet to send should be an…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-12-17 Pablo Garrido , Douglas Leith , Ramon Aguero

Dynamic behavior of traffic adversely affect the performance of the prediction models in intelligent transportation applications. This study applies Gaussian processes (GPs) to traffic speed prediction. Such predictions can be used by…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-25 Gurcan Comert

Boosting has emerged as a useful machine learning technique over the past three decades, attracting increased attention. Most advancements in this area, however, have primarily focused on numerical implementation procedures, often lacking…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

Modern mobile applications such as navigation services and ride-sharing platforms rely heavily on geospatial technologies, most critically predictions of the time required for a vehicle to traverse a particular route, or the so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-04 Chiwei Yan , James Johndrow , Dawn Woodard , Yanwei Sun

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

In this paper, we propose machine learning solutions to predict the time of future trips and the possible distance the vehicle will travel. For this prediction task, we develop and investigate four methods. In the first method, we use long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Ebrahim Balouji , Jonas Sjöblom , Nikolce Murgovski , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

We study a routing and appointment scheduling problem with uncertain service and travel times arising from home service practice. Specifically, given a set of customers within a service region that an operator needs to serve, we seek to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Man Yiu , Tsang , Karmel S. Shehadeh

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Chi-Hua Chen

This paper offers a methodological contribution at the intersection of machine learning and operations research. Namely, we propose a methodology to quickly predict tactical solutions to a given operational problem. In this context, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Eric Larsen , Sébastien Lachapelle , Yoshua Bengio , Emma Frejinger , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Andrea Lodi

Instant delivery services, such as food delivery and package delivery, have achieved explosive growth in recent years by providing customers with daily-life convenience. An emerging research area within these services is service Route\&Time…

Motivated by interest in providing more efficient services in customer service systems, we use statistical learning methods and delay history information to predict the conditional distribution of the customers' waiting times in queueing…

Performance · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Majid Raeis , Ali Tizghadam , Alberto Leon-Garcia

This report first provides a brief overview of a number of supervised learning algorithms for regression tasks. Among those are neural networks, regression trees, and the recently introduced Nexting. Nexting has been presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Michael Koller , Johannes Feldmaier , Klaus Diepold

Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters