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Model averaging has received much attention in the past two decades, which integrates available information by averaging over potential models. Although various model averaging methods have been developed, there are few literatures on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-27 Hengkun Zhu , Guohua Zou

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler

Two fundamental research tasks in science and engineering are forward predictions and data inversion. This article introduces a recent R package RobustCalibration for Bayesian data inversion and model calibration by experiments and field…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-20 Mengyang Gu

In this work, we propose a new inference procedure for understanding non-stationary processes, under the framework of evolutionary spectra developed by Priestley. Among various frameworks of modeling non-stationary processes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Yu Xiang , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Natural language processing tools have become frequently used in social sciences such as economics, political science, and sociology. Many publications apply topic modeling to elicit latent topics in text corpora and their development over…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-30 W. Benedikt Schmal

This paper introduces an R package ForecastTB that can be used to compare the accuracy of different forecasting methods as related to the characteristics of a time series dataset. The ForecastTB is a plug-and-play structured module, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde , Zaher Mundher Yaseen , Gorm Bruun Andersen

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

In this paper, we investigate the testing problem that the spectral density matrices of several, not necessarily independent, stationary processes are equal. Based on an $L_2$-type test statistic, we propose a new nonparametric approach,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Markus Pauly

In spite of the interest in and appeal of convolution-based approaches for nonstationary spatial modeling, off-the-shelf software for model fitting does not as of yet exist. Convolution-based models are highly flexible yet notoriously…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

We construct a statistic and null test for examining the stationarity of time-series of discrete symbols: whether two data streams appear to originate from the same underlying unknown dynamical system, and if any difference is statistically…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew B. Kennel , Alistair I. Mees

Ensuring the long-term reproducibility of data analyses requires results stability tests to verify that analysis results remain within acceptable variation bounds despite inevitable software updates and hardware evolutions. This paper…

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important class of models for the analysis of longitudinal data (Bartolucci et. al., 2013), especially when response variables are categorical. These models have a great potential of application for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-20 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and particle physics. We identify a previously unused property of NS related to order statistics: the insertion…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-25 Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Liangliang Su

The rstap package implements Bayesian spatial temporal aggregated predictor models in R using the probabilistic programming language Stan. A variety of distributions and link functions are supported, allowing users to fit this extension to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-27 Adam Peterson , Brisa Sanchez

The rapid advancement of models based on artificial intelligence demands innovative monitoring techniques which can operate in real time with low computational costs. In machine learning, especially if we consider artificial neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anna Malinovskaya , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Philipp Otto

This article introduces lassopack, a suite of programs for regularized regression in Stata. lassopack implements lasso, square-root lasso, elastic net, ridge regression, adaptive lasso and post-estimation OLS. The methods are suitable for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-17 Achim Ahrens , Christian B. Hansen , Mark E. Schaffer

In this research, we propose a novel technique for visualizing nonstationarity in geostatistics, particularly when confronted with a single realization of data at irregularly spaced locations. Our method hinges on formulating a statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 ShengLi Tzeng , Bo-Yu Chen , Hsin-Cheng Huang

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Cointegration is a property of multivariate time series that determines whether its non-stationary, growing components have a stationary linear combination. Largevars R package conducts a cointegration test for high-dimensional vector…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Anna Bykhovskaya , Vadim Gorin , Eszter Kiss

The automation of the traditional Painleve test in Mathematica is discussed. The package PainleveTest.m allows for the testing of polynomial systems of ordinary and partial differential equations which may be parameterized by arbitrary…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2013-01-08 Douglas Baldwin , Willy Hereman