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Time series models are ubiquitous in science, arising in any situation where researchers seek to understand how a system's behaviour changes over time. A key problem in time series modelling is \emph{inference}; determining properties of…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Michael Clerx , Martin Robinson , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Sanmitra Ghosh , Gary R. Mirams , David J. Gavaghan

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

In this article we propose an optimal method referred to as SPlit for splitting a dataset into training and testing sets. SPlit is based on the method of Support Points (SP), which was initially developed for finding the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-10 V. Roshan Joseph , Akhil Vakayil

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

A pervasive issue in statistical hypothesis testing is that the reported $p$-values are biased downward by data "peeking" -- the practice of reporting only progressively extreme values of the test statistic as more data samples are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Akshay Balsubramani

Process mining is a set of techniques that are used by organizations to understand and improve their operational processes. The first essential step in designing any process reengineering procedure is to find process improvement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Christian Kohlschmidt , Mahnaz Sadat Qafari , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Rapid growth in the field of quantitative digital image analysis is paving the way for researchers to make precise measurements about objects in an image. To compute quantities from the image such as the density of compressed materials or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Marylesa Howard , Margaret C. Hock , B. T. Meehan , Leora Dresselhaus-Cooper

Real-world time series data that commonly reflect sequential human behavior are often uniquely irregularly sampled and sparse, with highly nonuniform sampling over time and entities. Yet, commonly-used pretraining and augmentation methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Nicasia Beebe-Wang , Sayna Ebrahimi , Jinsung Yoon , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

There has been rapid progress recently on the application of deep networks to the solution of partial differential equations, collectively labelled as Physics Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). In this paper, we develop Physics Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Vikas Dwivedi , Balaji Srinivasan

The classification of time-series data is pivotal for streaming data and comes with many challenges. Although the amount of publicly available datasets increases rapidly, deep neural models are only exploited in a few areas. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Dominique Mercier , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

In recent years, there have been unprecedented technological advances in sensor technology, and sensors have become more affordable than ever. Thus, sensor-driven data collection is increasingly becoming an attractive and practical option…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Alireza Abdoli

We present a convex approach to probabilistic segmentation and modeling of time series data. Our approach builds upon recent advances in multivariate total variation regularization, and seeks to learn a separate set of parameters for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Matt Wytock , J. Zico Kolter

In this paper, we present a novel approach for local exceptionality detection on time series data. This method provides the ability to discover interpretable patterns in the data, which can be used to understand and predict the progression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Dan Hudson , Travis J. Wiltshire , Martin Atzmueller

Fine-grained time series data are crucial for accurate and timely online change detection. While both collective anomalies and change points can coexist in such data, their joint online detection has received limited attention. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Xian Chen , Weichi Wu

Physics-informed neural networks (PINN) is a extremely powerful paradigm used to solve equations encountered in scientific computing applications. An important part of the procedure is the minimization of the equation residual which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Gabriel Turinici

Mining Time Series data has a tremendous growth of interest in today's world. To provide an indication various implementations are studied and summarized to identify the different problems in existing applications. Clustering time series is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-05-25 V. Kavitha , M. Punithavalli

Data segmentation a.k.a. multiple change point analysis has received considerable attention due to its importance in time series analysis and signal processing, with applications in a variety of fields including natural and social sciences,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Haeran Cho , Claudia Kirch

For many real data, long term observation consists of different processes that coexist or occur one after the other. Those processes very often exhibit different statistical properties and thus before the further analysis the observed data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Kucharczyk Daniel. Wyłomańska Agnieszka , Zimroz Radosław