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Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Beyza Ermis , A. Taylan Cemgil

Frequently, acquiring training data has an associated cost. We consider the situation where the learner may purchase data during training, subject TO a budget. IN particular, we examine the CASE WHERE each feature label has an associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Daniel J. Lizotte , Omid Madani , Russell Greiner

Feature selection is one of the most relevant processes in any methodology for creating a statistical learning model. Usually, existing algorithms establish some criterion to select the most influential variables, discarding those that do…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-10 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén

Standard evaluations of Bayesian deep learning methods assume that metric estimates are reliable, but we show this assumption fails under data scarcity. Method rankings are not only unreliable at small $n$, but also dataset-dependent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Qishi Zhan , Minxuan Hu , Guansu Wang , Jiaxin Liu , Liang He

Estimating the dependences between random variables, and ranking them accordingly, is a prevalent problem in machine learning. Pursuing frequentist and information-theoretic approaches, we first show that the p-value and the mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Harald Steck

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

Learning the structure of Bayesian networks from data is known to be a computationally challenging, NP-hard problem. The literature has long investigated how to perform structure learning from data containing large numbers of variables,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-25 Marco Scutari , Claudia Vitolo , Allan Tucker

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Orpaz Goldstein , Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Majid Sarrafzadeh

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect, as well as the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we integrate our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Bhargav Karamched , Simon Stolarczyk , Zachary Kilpatrick , Krešimir Josić

Our work is motivated by and illustrated with application of association networks in computational biology, specifically in the context of gene/protein regulatory networks. Association networks represent systems of interacting elements,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-01 Natallia Katenka , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Bayesian network is a complete model for the variables and their relationships, it can be used to answer probabilistic queries about them. A Bayesian network can thus be considered a mechanism for automatically applying Bayes' theorem to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-11-08 Jianguo Ding

We present a novel preference learning framework to capture participant preferences efficiently within limited interaction rounds. It involves three main contributions. First, we develop a variational Bayesian approach to infer the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yan Wang , Jiapeng Liu , Milosz Kadziński , Xiuwu Liao

Bayesian modelling for cost-effectiveness data has received much attention in both the health economics and the statistical literature in recent years. Cost-effectiveness data are characterised by a relatively complex structure of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Gianluca Baio

This article presents a type-based analysis for deriving upper bounds on the expected execution cost of probabilistic programs. The analysis is naturally compositional, parametric in the cost model, and supports higher order functions and…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Di Wang , David M Kahn , Jan Hoffmann

Structured data in the form of tabular datasets contain features that are distinct and discrete, with varying individual and relative importances to the target. Combinations of one or more features may be more predictive and meaningful than…