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Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

The analysis of diffusion processes in real-world propagation scenarios often involves estimating variables that are not directly observed. These hidden variables include parental relationships, the strengths of connections between nodes,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have shown great success in modeling time-dependent patterns, but there is limited research on their learned representations of latent temporal features and the emergence of these representations during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Peter DelMastro , Rushiv Arora , Edward Rietman , Hava T. Siegelmann

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

Obtaining accurate estimates of uncertainty in climate scenarios often requires generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate simulations, a computationally expensive and memory intensive process. To address this challenge, we train…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Johannes Meuer , Maximilian Witte , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Claudia Timmreck , Thomas Ludwig , Christopher Kadow

Accurate air quality prediction is becoming increasingly important in the environmental field. To address issues such as low prediction accuracy and slow real-time updates in existing models, which lead to lagging prediction results, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Dan Wang , Feng Jiang , Zhanquan Wang

Spatio-temporal (ST) prediction has garnered a De facto attention in earth sciences, such as meteorological prediction, human mobility perception. However, the scarcity of data coupled with the high expenses involved in sensor deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Yifan Duan , Jian Zhao , pengcheng , Junyuan Mao , Hao Wu , Jingyu Xu , Shilong Wang , Caoyuan Ma , Kai Wang , Kun Wang , Xuelong Li

Many important phenomena in scientific fields like climate, neuroscience, and epidemiology are naturally represented as spatiotemporal gridded data with complex interactions. Inferring causal relationships from these data is a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Kun Wang , Sumanth Varambally , Duncan Watson-Parris , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

We introduce Active Tuning, a novel paradigm for optimizing the internal dynamics of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) on the fly. In contrast to the conventional sequence-to-sequence mapping scheme, Active Tuning decouples the RNN's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Sebastian Otte , Matthias Karlbauer , Martin V. Butz

Cloth manipulation is challenging due to its highly complex dynamics, near-infinite degrees of freedom, and frequent self-occlusions, which complicate both state estimation and dynamics modeling. Inspired by recent advances in generative…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Tongxuan Tian , Haoyang Li , Bo Ai , Xiaodi Yuan , Zhiao Huang , Hao Su

This work aims to improve generalization and interpretability of dynamical systems by recovering the underlying lower-dimensional latent states and their time evolutions. Previous work on disentangled representation learning within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Çağlar Hızlı , Çağatay Yıldız , Matthias Bethge , ST John , Pekka Marttinen

State-space systems encompass a broad class of algorithms used for modeling and forecasting time series. For such systems to be effective, two objectives must be met: (i) accurate point forecasts of the time series must be produced, and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-12 James Murray Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Accurate long-horizon prediction of spatiotemporal fields on complex geometries is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning, with applications such as additive manufacturing where temperature histories govern defect formation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Lionel Salesses , Larbi Arbaoui , Tariq Benamara , Arnaud Francois , Caroline Sainvitu

How to model distribution of sequential data, including but not limited to speech and human motions, is an important ongoing research problem. It has been demonstrated that model capacity can be significantly enhanced by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Guokun Lai , Bohan Li , Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang

Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Yuankai Wu , Hongyu Yang , Yi Lin , Hong Liu

Inductive spatial temporal prediction can generalize historical data to predict unseen data, crucial for highly dynamic scenarios (e.g., traffic systems, stock markets). However, external events (e.g., urban structural growth, market crash)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Jialun Zheng , Divya Saxena , Jiannong Cao , Hanchen Yang , Penghui Ruan

Sequential modelling of high-dimensional data is an important problem that appears in many domains including model-based reinforcement learning and dynamics identification for control. Latent variable models applied to sequential data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Oliver Limoyo , Trevor Ablett , Jonathan Kelly