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We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

We consider a multi-stock continuous time incomplete market model with random coefficients. We study the investment problem in the class of strategies which do not use direct observations of the appreciation rates of the stocks, but rather…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-10 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Dynamic portfolio optimization is the process of sequentially allocating wealth to a collection of assets in some consecutive trading periods, based on investors' return-risk profile. Automating this process with machine learning remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Pengqian Yu , Joon Sern Lee , Ilya Kulyatin , Zekun Shi , Sakyasingha Dasgupta

We consider a portfolio allocation problem for trend following (TF) strategies on multiple correlated assets. Under simplifying assumptions of a Gaussian market and linear TF strategies, we derive analytical formulas for the mean and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 Denis S. Grebenkov , Jeremy Serror

An investment portfolio consists of $n$ algorithmic trading strategies, which generate vectors of positions in trading assets. Sign opposite trades (buy/sell) cross each other as strategies are combined in a portfolio. Then portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-05 A. V. Kuliga , I. N. Shnurnikov

This paper studies the optimal VIX futures trading problems under a regime-switching model. We consider the VIX as mean reversion dynamics with dependence on the regime that switches among a finite number of states. For the trading…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-15 Jiao Li

Multi-agent reinforcement learning methods have shown remarkable potential in solving complex multi-agent problems but mostly lack theoretical guarantees. Recently, mean field control and mean field games have been established as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Kai Cui , Anam Tahir , Mark Sinzger , Heinz Koeppl

We consider a moral hazard problem with multiple principals in a continuous-time model. The agent can only work exclusively for one principal at a given time, so faces an optimal switching problem. Using a randomized formulation, we manage…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Kaitong Hu , Zhenjie Ren , Junjian Yang

We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Dirk Becherer , Todor Bilarev , Peter Frentrup

This paper examines an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time (essentially) complete financial market with a finite horizon. We deal with an investor who behaves consistently with principles of Cumulative Prospect Theory, and whose…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-18 Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea Meireles Rodrigues

In risk-sharing markets with aggregate uncertainty, characterizing Pareto-optimal allocations when agents might not be risk averse is a challenging task, and the literature has only provided limited explicit results thus far. In particular,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Mario Ghossoub , Qinghua Ren , Ruodu Wang

This paper studies a robust portfolio optimization problem under the multi-factor volatility model introduced by Christoffersen et al. (2009). The optimal strategy is derived analytically under the worst-case scenario with or without…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xiaoping Lu , Guiyuan Ma , Song-Ping Zhu

We introduce predictable relative forward performance processes (PRFPP) as a new framework for studying portfolio management within a competitive and incomplete market environment. Each agent trades a distinct stock following a binomial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

We consider the problem of optimal investment in a market with two cointegrated stocks and an agent with CRRA utility. We extend the findings of Liu and Timmermann [The Review of Financial Studies, 26(4):1048-1086, 2013] by paying special…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-31 Bahman Angoshtari

In the continuous time mean-variance model, we want to minimize the variance (risk) of the investment portfolio with a given mean at terminal time. However, the investor can stop the investment plan at any time before the terminal time. To…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-05 Shuzhen Yang

This paper studies dynamic mean-variance (MV) asset allocation problems in general incomplete markets. Besides of the conventional MV objective on portfolio's terminal wealth, our framework can accommodate running MV objectives with general…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Qian Lei , Chi Seng Pun , Jingxiang Tang

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

We consider an agent who needs to buy (or sell) a relatively small amount of asset over some fixed short time interval. We work at the highest frequency meaning that we wish to find the optimal tactic to execute our quantity using limit…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-16 Charles-Albert Lehalle , Othmane Mounjid , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper we study a time-inconsistent portfolio optimization problem for competitive agents with CARA utilities and non-exponential discounting. The utility of each agent depends on her own wealth and consumption as well as the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-30 Zongxia Liang , Keyu Zhang

In this paper, we study inverse game theory (resp. inverse multiagent learning) in which the goal is to find parameters of a game's payoff functions for which the expected (resp. sampled) behavior is an equilibrium. We formulate these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Denizalp Goktas , Amy Greenwald , Sadie Zhao , Alec Koppel , Sumitra Ganesh