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Related papers: Uncertainty quantification in sunspot counts

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Monthly averages of the sunspot number visible on the sun, observed from 1749, Zurich Observatory, and from 1848 other observatories, have been analyzed. This time signal presents a frequency power spectra with a clear $1/f^\alpha$ behavior…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-09-08 H. Fanchiotti , S. J. Sciutto , C. A. Garcia Canal , C. Hojvat

The Schwabe (~11 yr) value for the annual sunspot number is sometimes uncritically applied to other measures of solar activity, direct and indirect, including the 10.7 cm radio flux, the inflow of galactic cosmic rays, solar flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-08 Claudio Vita-Finzi

Solar cycles are studied with the Version 2 monthly smoothed international sunspot number, the variations of which are found to be well represented by the modified logistic differential equation with four parameters: maximum cumulative…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-19 G. Qin , S. -S. Wu

Sunspots are of basic interest in the study of the Sun. Their relevance ranges from them being an activity indicator of magnetic fields to being the place where coronal mass ejections and flares erupt. They are therefore also an important…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-24 Illa R. Losada , Jörn Warnecke , Kolja Glogowski , Markus Roth , Axel Brandenburg , Nathan Kleeorin , Igor Rogachevskii

This note deals with a multivariate stochastic approach to forecast the behaviour of a cyclic time series. Particular attention is devoted to the problem of the prediction of time behaviour of sunspot numbers for the current 23th cycle. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefano Sello

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

In this study, we used two methods to investigate the periodic behavior of sunspot counts in four categories for the time period January 1986-October 2013. These categories include the counts from simple (A and B), medium (C), large (D, E,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-23 A. Kilcik , A. Ozguc , V. B. Yurchyshyn , J. P. Rozelot

Here we analyze solar activity by focusing on time variations of the number of sunspot groups (SGs) as a function of their modified Zurich class. We analyzed data for solar cycles 2023 by using Rome (cycles 2021) and Learmonth Solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-18 A. Kilcik , V. B. Yurchyshyn , V. Abramenko , P. R. Goode , A. Ozguc , J. P. Rozelot , W. Cao

The sunspot groups have been observed since 1610 and their numbers have been used for evaluating the amplitude of solar activity. Daniel M\"ogling recorded his sunspot observations for more than 100 days in 1626 - 1629 and formed a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-09 Hisashi Hayakawa , Tomoya Iju , Koji Murata , Bruno P. Besser

Total solar irradiance variations, about 0.1% between solar activity maximum and minimum, are available from accurate satellite measurements since 1978 and thus do not provide useful information on longer-term secular trends. Recently,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-23 S. Sello

The parameter G, which is determined from the general number of sunspots groups Ng according to the daily observations G=Sum(1/Ng)^2, is offered. This parameter is calculated for the days when there is at least one sunspots group. It…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-06-13 A. G. Tlatov

Standard solar models (SSM) are facing nowadays a new puzzle: the solar composition problem. New determinations of solar metal abundances lead SSM calculations to conflict with helioseismological measurements, showing discrepancies that…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-18 Carlos Pena-Garay , Aldo Serenelli

The present paper reviews results derived from statistical studies on solar activity indices. The prolonged minimum phase of cycle 23 raised the question of peculiarities inherent in cycle 23. The most important solar activity index is the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-03 M. Temmer

In a recent work, Kilcik et al. (2017), have detected the temporal and periodic behavior of sunspot counts (SSC) in flaring (i.e. C, M, or X class flares), and non-flaring active regions for the last two solar cycles, covering the period:…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-10 Stefano Sello

The paper shows the recurrence and cross recurrence plots of three time series, concerning data of the solar activity. The data are the sunspot number and the values of solar radio flux at 10.7 cm and of solar total irradiance, which are…

Popular Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Amelia Sparavigna

We create a continuous series of daily and monthly hemispheric sunspot numbers (HSNs) from 1874 to 2020, which will be continuously expanded in the future with the HSNs provided by SILSO. Based on the available daily measurements of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Astrid M. Veronig , Shantanu Jain , Tatiana Podladchikova , Werner Poetzi , Frederic Clette

In 2015 the calculation of the International (Zurich) sunspot number was cancelled, and it was replaced by a new "recalibrated" series. A new data series was proposed also for the Group sunspot number. As a result, these two series which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-24 Katya Georgieva , Ali Kilcik , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

The focus of this article is a re-count of Richard Carrington's original sunspot observations from his book drawings (Carrington,1863) by an observer from the World data Center-SILSO network, Thomas H. Teague(UK). This modern recount will…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Shreya Bhattacharya , E. T. H Teague , S. Fay , Laure Lefèvre , M. Jansen , F. Clette

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

Since the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) began recording ~ 1 TB of data per day, there has been an increased need to automatically extract features and events for further analysis. Here we compare the overall detection performance,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-09-05 Cis Verbeeck , Paul A. Higgins , Tufan Colak , Fraser T. Watson , Veronique Delouille , Benjamin Mampaey , Rami Qahwaji