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We propose an algorithm to capture emergent patterns in the cross-correlations of financial markets, highlighting regime changes on a global scale. In our approach, financial markets are viewed as complex adaptive systems, and multiscale…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-02 Marina Dolfin , George Kapetanios , Leone Leonida , Jose De Leon Miranda

In contrast with robust systems that resist noise or fragile systems that break with noise, antifragility is defined as a property of complex systems that benefit from noise or disorder. Here we define and test a simple measure of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-22 Darío Alatorre , Carlos Gershenson , José L. Mateos

The world economy is experiencing the novel adoption of distributed currencies that are free from the control of central banks. Distributed currencies suffer from extreme volatility, and this can lead to catastrophic implications during…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jacques Bou Abdo , Shuvalaxmi Dass , Basheer Qolomany , Liaquat Hossain

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Iddo Bentov , Alex Mizrahi , Meni Rosenfeld

We propose a modelling framework for the optimal selection of crypto assets. Crypto assets differ by two essential features: security (technological) and stability (governance). Investors make choices over crypto assets similarly to how…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Silvia Bartolucci , Andrei Kirilenko

Trust mechanisms diverge between centralized and decentralized exchanges, representing distinct sociotechnical governance paradigms. However, quantifying trust dynamics and their redistribution between these architectures remains…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-04 Xintong Wu , Wanlin Deng , Yutong Quan , Lin William Cong , Luyao Zhang

This article demonstrates the possibility of constructing indicators of critical and crisis phenomena in the volatile market of cryptocurrency. For this purpose, the methods of the theory of complex systems such as recurrent analysis of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Andrey Belinskiy

This paper contextualises the common queries of "why is crypto crashing?" and "why is crypto down?", the research transcends beyond the frequent market fluctuations to unravel how cryptocurrencies fundamentally work and the step-by-step…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Petar Radanliev

We develop an analysis of the cryptocurrency market borrowing methods and concepts from ecology. This approach makes it possible to identify specific diversity patterns and their variation, in close analogy with ecological systems, and to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Edgardo Brigatti , Estevan Augusto Amazonas Mendes

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

One of the defining features of a cryptocurrency is that its ledger, containing all transactions that have evertaken place, is globally visible. As one consequenceof this degree of transparency, a long line of recent re-search has…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Haaroon Yousaf , George Kappos , Sarah Meiklejohn

The decentralized international market of currency trading is a prototypical complex system having a highly heterogeneous composition. To understand the hierarchical structure relating the price movement of different currencies in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Abhijit Chakraborty , Soumya Easwaran , Sitabhra Sinha

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-27 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

More than ten years ago the blockchain was acclaimed as the solution to overcome centralised trusted third parties for online payments. Through the years the crypto-movement changed and evolved, although decentralisation remained the core…

Two taxonomies of money that include cryptocurrencies are analyzed. A definition of the term cryptocurrency is given and a taxonomy of them is presented, based on how its price is fixed. The characteristics of the use of current fiat money…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-21 Jorge Barrera

This survey develops a dual analysis, consisting, first, in a bibliometric examination and, second, in a close literature review of all the scientific production around cryptocurrencies conducted in economics so far. The aim of this paper…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-24 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Ignasi Merediz-Solà

While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little about its alternatives. Studying high frequency crypto data gives us the unique possibility to confirm that cross market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Danial Saef , Odett Nagy , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-06 Ruixue Jing , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha
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