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Ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators are widely used in network experiments to estimate spillover effects. We study the causal interpretation of, and inference for the OLS estimator under both design-based uncertainty from random…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Kensuke Sakamoto , Yuya Shimizu

Influence propagation has been the subject of extensive study due to its important role in social networks, epidemiology, and many other areas. Understanding propagation mechanisms is critical to control the spread of fake news or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Vinicius Ferreira , Artur Pessoa , Thibaut Vidal

We study the effects of nonreciprocity and network structure on percolation. To this end, we investigate nonreciprocal random networks - directed networks for which the probability of a link occurring from node i to node j differs from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Chanania Steinbock

We analyze about two hundred naturally occurring networks with distinct dynamical origins to formally test whether the commonly assumed hypothesis of an underlying scale-free structure is generally viable. This has recently been questioned…

Interdependent networks are characterized by two kinds of interactions: The usual connectivity links within each network and the dependency links coupling nodes of different networks. Due to the latter links such networks are known to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Marcell Stippinger , János Kertész

Random networks are a powerful tool in the analytical modeling of complex networks as they allow us to write approximate mathematical models for diverse properties and behaviors of networks. One notable shortcoming of these models is that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-10 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Márton Pósfai , Antoine Allard

The statistical modeling of random networks has been widely used to uncover interaction mechanisms in complex systems and to predict unobserved links in real-world networks. In many applications, network connections are collected via…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Angus Chan , Tianxi Li

Methods for determining the percolation threshold usually study the behavior of network ensembles and are often restricted to a particular type of probabilistic node/link removal strategy. We propose a network-specific method to determine…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-30 Dane Taylor , Juan G. Restrepo

Many real-world networks are known to exhibit facts that counter our knowledge prescribed by the theories on network creation and communication patterns. A common prerequisite in network analysis is that information on nodes and links will…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Guy Kelman , Eran Manes , Marco Lamieri , David Breé

No man is an island, as individuals interact and influence one another daily in our society. When social influence takes place in experiments on a population of interconnected individuals, the treatment on a unit may affect the outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Edward K. Kao

Real-world network datasets are typically obtained in ways that fail to capture all edges. The patterns of missing data are often non-uniform as they reflect biases and other shortcomings of different data collection methods. Nevertheless,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Xie He , Amir Ghasemian , Eun Lee , Alice Schwarze , Aaron Clauset , Peter J. Mucha

Link prediction is an elemental challenge in network science, which has already found applications in guiding laboratorial experiments, digging out drug targets, recommending friends in social networks, probing mechanisms in network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-26 Ratha Pech , Dong Hao , Yan-Li Lee , Ye Yuan , Tao Zhou

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

The bulk of causal inference studies rule out the presence of interference between units. However, in many real-world scenarios, units are interconnected by social, physical, or virtual ties, and the effect of the treatment can spill from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Costanza Tortù , Laura Forastiere

Predicting missing links in real networks is an important problem in network science to which considerable efforts have been devoted, giving as a result a vast plethora of link prediction methods in the literature. In this work, we take a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-04 Guillermo García-Pérez , Roya Aliakbarisani , Abdorasoul Ghasemi , M. Ángeles Serrano

A large computer program is typically divided into many hundreds or even thousands of smaller units, whose logical connections define a network in a natural way. This network reflects the internal structure of the program, and defines the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Alessandro P. S. de Moura , Ying-Cheng Lai , Adilson E. Motter

We present a novel methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects across stocks. The proposed model offers the benefits of incorporating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Chao Zhang , Xingyue Pu , Mihai Cucuringu , Xiaowen Dong

Complex networks are at the core of an intense research activity. However, in most cases, intricate and costly measurement procedures are needed to explore their structure. In some cases, these measurements rely on link queries: given two…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-04-22 Fabien Tarissan , Matthieu Latapy , Christophe Prieur

Graphical models have gained a lot of attention recently as a tool for learning and representing dependencies among variables in multivariate data. Often, domain scientists are looking specifically for differences among the dependency…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-11 Diane Oyen , Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Rachel Ostroff , Alex Stewart , Vincent P. Clark

Many interventions, such as vaccines in clinical trials or coupons in online marketplaces, must be assigned sequentially without full knowledge of their effects. Multi-armed bandit algorithms have proven successful in such settings.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Aidan Gleich , Eric Laber , Alexander Volfovsky