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In this paper we provide a connection between the geometrical properties of a chaotic dynamical system and the distribution of extreme values. We show that the extremes of so-called physical observables are distributed according to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Valerio Lucarini , Tobias Kuna , Davide Faranda , Jeroen Wouters

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

We introduce a new type of estimator for the spectral tail process of a regularly varying time series. The approach is based on a characterizing invariance property of the spectral tail process, which is incorporated into the new estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

In the multivariate setting, estimates of extremal risk measures are important in many contexts, such as environmental planning and structural engineering. In this paper, we propose new estimation methods for extremal bivariate return…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , E. F. Eastoe

The statistical modelling of spatial extremes has recently made major advances. Much of its focus so far has been on the modelling of the magnitudes of extreme events but little attention has been paid on the timing of extremes. To address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Stilian Stoev

We use the framework of multivariate regular variation to analyse the extremal behaviour of preferential attachment models. To this end, we follow a directed linear preferential attachment model for a random, heavy-tailed number of steps in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Anja Janßen , Max Ziegenbalg

Maximum-type statistics of certain functions of the sample covariance matrix of high-dimensional vector time series are studied to statistically confirm or reject the null hypothesis that a data set has been collected under normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ansgar Steland

Extreme events are emergent phenomena in multi-particle transport processes on complex networks. In practice, such events could range from power blackouts to call drops in cellular networks to traffic congestion on roads. All the earlier…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-27 Aanjaneya Kumar , Suman Kulkarni , M. S. Santhanam

In recent years several classical results in extremal graph theory have been improved in a uniform way and their proofs have been simplified and streamlined. These results include a new Erd\H{o}s-Stone-Bollob\'as theorem, several stability…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-07-07 Vladimir Nikiforov

A general expression for calculating the bond incident degree (BID) indices of certain triangular chain graphs is derived. The extremal triangular chain graphs with respect to several well known BID indices are also characterized over a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Akbar Ali , Akhlaq Ahmad Bhatti

Extreme value applications commonly employ regression techniques to capture cross-sectional heterogeneity or time-variation in the data. Estimation of the parameters of an extreme value regression model is notoriously challenging due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Debbie J. Dupuis , Sebastian Engelke , Luca Trapin

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

We find that the probability distribution for the largest intervals $p(l)$ exhibits universal properties for different systems including random walk and random cutting models. In particular, $p(l)$ has an infinite set of singularities at…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 L. Frachebourg , I. Ispolatov , P. L. Krapivsky

This paper revisits the classical concept of network modularity and its spectral relaxations used throughout graph data analysis. We formulate and study several modularity statistic variants for which we establish asymptotic distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-26 Anirban Mitra , Konasale Prasad , Joshua Cape

The classical random matrix theory is mostly focused on asymptotic spectral properties of random matrices as their dimensions grow to infinity. At the same time many recent applications from convex geometry to functional analysis to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Mark Rudelson , Roman Vershynin

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

We define a dynamic model of random networks, where new vertices are connected to old ones with a probability proportional to a sublinear function of their degree. We first give a strong limit law for the empirical degree distribution, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-31 Steffen Dereich , Peter Morters

We review a collection of models of random simplicial complexes together with some of the most exciting phenomena related to them. We do not attempt to cover all existing models, but try to focus on those for which many important results…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Omer Bobrowski , Dmitri Krioukov
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