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Change-plane regression identifies subpopulations through an interpretable linear threshold rule, but likelihood-based inference for the hard-threshold boundary is nonregular: objectives are non-smooth, the boundary is weakly identified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Linear Mixed Models (LMMs) are important tools in statistical genetics. When used for feature selection, they allow to find a sparse set of genetic traits that best predict a continuous phenotype of interest, while simultaneously correcting…

Performative prediction, as introduced by Perdomo et al, is a framework for studying social prediction in which the data distribution itself changes in response to the deployment of a model. Existing work in this field usually hinges on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Yatong Chen , Wei Tang , Chien-Ju Ho , Yang Liu

For a portfolio of life insurance policies observed for a stated period of time, e.g., one year, mortality is typically a rare event. When we examine the outcome of dying or not from such portfolios, we have an imbalanced binary response.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-31 Shuang Yin , Dipak K. Dey , Emiliano A. Valdez , Guojun Gan , Jeyaraj Vadiveloo

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

We introduce a pruning algorithm that provably sparsifies the parameters of a trained model in a way that approximately preserves the model's predictive accuracy. Our algorithm uses a small batch of input points to construct a data-informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Cenk Baykal , Lucas Liebenwein , Igor Gilitschenski , Dan Feldman , Daniela Rus

Inspired by the complexity of certain real-world datasets, this article introduces a novel flexible linear spline index regression model. The model posits piecewise linear effects of an index on the response, with continuous changes…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Lianqiang Qu , Long Lv , Meiling Hao , Liuquan Sun

Researchers often impute continuous variables under an assumption of normality, yet many incomplete variables are skewed. We find that imputing skewed continuous variables under a normal model can lead to bias; the bias is usually mild for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-19 Paul T. von Hippel

Factor analysis is a classical data reduction technique that seeks a potentially lower number of unobserved variables that can account for the correlations among the observed variables. This paper presents an extension of the factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Tsung-I Lin , Pal H. Wu , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Sharon X. Lee

We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the gauge approach to deduce the conformity score induced by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Paulo C. Marques F. , Helton Graziadei

Set similarity join, as well as the corresponding indexing problem set similarity search, are fundamental primitives for managing noisy or uncertain data. For example, these primitives can be used in data cleaning to identify different…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Samuel McCauley , Jesper W. Mikkelsen , Rasmus Pagh

We study a linear observation model with an unknown permutation called \textit{permuted/shuffled linear regression}, where responses and covariates are mismatched and the permutation forms a discrete, factorial-size parameter. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Hirofumi Ota , Masaaki Imaizumi

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

In this note, we investigate the non-identifiability of the multivariate unified skew-normal distribution under permutation of its latent variables. We show that the non-identifiability issue also holds with other parametrizations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Kesen Wang , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini , Marc G. Genton

Regression splines are smooth, flexible, and parsimonious nonparametric function estimators. They are known to be sensitive to knot number and placement, but if assumptions such as monotonicity or convexity may be imposed on the regression…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Mary C. Meyer

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

Existing generalization measures that aim to capture a model's simplicity based on parameter counts or norms fail to explain generalization in overparameterized deep neural networks. In this paper, we introduce a new, theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Lorenz Kuhn , Clare Lyle , Aidan N. Gomez , Jonas Rothfuss , Yarin Gal

We propose a regression model in which the responses are spherical variables and the covariates include linear and/or spherical variables. A novel link function is introduced by extending the M\"obius transformation on the sphere. This link…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Shogo Kato , Kassel L. Hingee , Janice L. Scealy , Andrew T. A. Wood

This paper discusses a nonparametric regression model that naturally generalizes neural network models. The model is based on a finite number of one-dimensional transformations and can be estimated with a one-dimensional rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Joel L. Horowitz , Enno Mammen

Ordinal categorical data are routinely encountered in many practical applications. When the primary goal is to construct a regression model for ordinal outcomes, cumulative link models represent one of the most popular choices to link the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Emanuele Aliverti