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Trajectory planning for autonomous driving is challenging because the unknown future motion of traffic participants must be accounted for, yielding large uncertainty. Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC)-based planners provide…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 Tommaso Benciolini , Michael Fink , Nehir Güzelkaya , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

We propose a Stochastic MPC (SMPC) formulation for path planning with autonomous vehicles in scenarios involving multiple agents with multi-modal predictions. The multi-modal predictions capture the uncertainty of urban driving in distinct…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Siddharth H. Nair , Hotae Lee , Eunhyek Joa , Yan Wang , H. Eric Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

This paper demonstrates the applicability of the safe model predictive control (SMPC) framework to autonomous driving scenarios, focusing on the design of adaptive cruise control (ACC) and automated lane-change systems. Building on the SMPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-12 Francesco Prignoli , Ying Shuai Quan , Mohammad Jeddi , Jonas Sjöberg , Paolo Falcone

Uncertainty in the behavior of other traffic participants is a crucial factor in collision avoidance for automated driving; here, stochastic metrics could avoid overly conservative decisions. This paper introduces a Stochastic Model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-15 Leila Gharavi , Azita Dabiri , Jelske Verkuijlen , Bart De Schutter , Simone Baldi

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

In automated driving, risk describes potential harm to passengers of an autonomous vehicle (AV) and other road users. Recent studies suggest that human-like driving behavior emerges from embedding risk in AV motion planning algorithms.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Nathan van de Wouw , Christian Birkner

Trajectory planning in urban automated driving is challenging because of the high uncertainty resulting from the unknown future motion of other traffic participants. Robust approaches guarantee safety, but tend to result in overly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-30 Tommaso Benciolini , Tim Brüdigam , Marion Leibold

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

The full deployment of autonomous driving systems on a worldwide scale requires that the self-driving vehicle be operated in a provably safe manner, i.e., the vehicle must be able to avoid collisions in any possible traffic situation. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Ivo Batkovic , Ankit Gupta , Mario Zanon , Paolo Falcone

Stochastic model-predictive control (SMPC) has evolved to a powerful framework for the control of stochastic dynamical systems. SMPC utilizes a probabilistic uncertainty description to provide a systematic trade-off between the control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Bendegúz Györök , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens , Tamás Péni

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

Many practical applications of control require that constraints on the inputs and states of the system be respected, while optimizing some performance criterion. In the presence of model uncertainties or disturbances, for many control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Georg Schildbach , Lorenzo Fagiano , Christoph Frei , Manfred Morari

Model predictive control (MPC) is a popular strategy for urban traffic management that is able to incorporate physical and user defined constraints. However, the current MPC methods rely on finite horizon predictions that are unable to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-03 Sadra Sadraddini , Calin Belta

We propose a Stochastic MPC (SMPC) approach for autonomous driving which incorporates multi-modal, interaction-aware predictions of surrounding vehicles. For each mode, vehicle motion predictions are obtained by a control model described…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Siddharth H. Nair , Vijay Govindarajan , Theresa Lin , Yan Wang , Eric H. Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

Robot navigation around humans can be a challenging problem since human movements are hard to predict. Stochastic model predictive control (MPC) can account for such uncertainties and approximately bound the probability of a collision to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yunfan Gao , Florian Messerer , Niels van Duijkeren , Moritz Diehl

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This work investigates the challenge of ensuring safety guarantees in the presence of uncontrollable agents, whose behaviors are stochastic and depend on both their own and the system's states. We present a neural model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shuqi Wang , Mingyang Feng , Yu Chen , Yue Gao , Xiang Yin

One of the critical challenges in automated driving is ensuring safety of automated vehicles despite the unknown behavior of the other vehicles. Although motion prediction modules are able to generate a probability distribution associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Luyao Zhang , George Pantazis , Shaohang Han , Sergio Grammatico

This paper presents a safe model predictive control (SMPC) framework designed to ensure the satisfaction of hard constraints for systems perturbed by an external disturbance. Such safety guarantees are ensured, despite the disturbance, by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-20 Ying Shuai Quan , Mohammad Jeddi , Francesco Prignoli , Paolo Falcone
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