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Accurate forecasting of river water levels is vital for effectively managing traffic flow and mitigating the risks associated with natural disasters. This task presents challenges due to the intricate factors influencing the flow of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sungchul Hong , Yunjin Choi , Jong-June Jeon

As machine learning systems are increasingly used in high-stakes domains, there is a growing emphasis placed on making them interpretable to improve trust in these systems. In response, a range of interpretable machine learning (IML)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Luqin Gan , Tarek M. Zikry , Genevera I. Allen

An ensuing challenge in Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the perceived difficulty in interpreting sophisticated machine learning models, whose ever-increasing complexity makes it hard for such models to be understood, trusted and thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jianqiao Mao , Grammenos Ryan

Existing sample-based methods, like influence functions and representer points, measure the importance of a training point by approximating the effect of its removal from training. As such, they are skewed towards outliers and points that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Lucas Agussurja , Xinyang Lu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Model explanations can be valuable for interpreting and debugging predictive models. We study a specific kind called Concept Explanations, where the goal is to interpret a model using human-understandable concepts. Although popular for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Vihari Piratla , Juyeon Heo , Katherine M. Collins , Sukriti Singh , Adrian Weller

The growing need for trustworthy machine learning has led to the blossom of interpretability research. Numerous explanation methods have been developed to serve this purpose. However, these methods are deficiently and inappropriately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Yipei Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

As predictive machine learning models become increasingly adopted and advanced, their role has evolved from merely predicting outcomes to actively shaping them. This evolution has underscored the importance of Trustworthy AI, highlighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Fabio Michele Russo , Carlo Metta , Anna Monreale , Salvatore Rinzivillo , Fabio Pinelli

As time evolves, data within specific domains exhibit predictability that motivates time series forecasting to predict future trends from historical data. However, current deep forecasting methods can achieve promising performance but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Ziran Liang , Rui An , Wenqi Fan , Yanghui Rao , Yuxuan Liang

Accurate electricity demand forecasts play a crucial role in sustainable power systems. To enable better decision-making especially for demand flexibility of the end-user, it is necessary to provide not only accurate but also understandable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Dilini Rajapaksha , Christoph Bergmeir

While the need for interpretable machine learning has been established, many common approaches are slow, lack fidelity, or hard to evaluate. Amortized explanation methods reduce the cost of providing interpretations by learning a global…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Neil Jethani , Mukund Sudarshan , Yindalon Aphinyanaphongs , Rajesh Ranganath

The wide-spread adoption of representation learning technologies in clinical decision making strongly emphasizes the need for characterizing model reliability and enabling rigorous introspection of model behavior. While the former need is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Prasanna Sattigeri , Deepta Rajan , Bindya Venkatesh

Saliency methods are used extensively to highlight the importance of input features in model predictions. These methods are mostly used in vision and language tasks, and their applications to time series data is relatively unexplored. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Mohamed Gunady , Héctor Corrada Bravo , Soheil Feizi

Time series forecasting is a demanding task ranging from weather to failure forecasting with black-box models achieving state-of-the-art performances. However, understanding and debugging are not guaranteed. We propose TS-MULE, a local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Udo Schlegel , Duy Vo Lam , Daniel A. Keim , Daniel Seebacher

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

With the growing pervasiveness of artificial intelligence, the ability to explain the inferences made by machine learning models has become increasingly important. Numerous techniques for model explainability have been proposed, with…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Nicola Rossberg , Bennett Kleinberg , Barry O'Sullivan , Luca Longo , Andrea Visentin

Counterfactual explanations emerge as a powerful approach in explainable AI, providing what-if scenarios that reveal how minimal changes to an input time series can alter the model's prediction. This work presents a survey of recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Udo Schlegel , Thomas Seidl

With the increasing complexity of black-box machine learning models and their adoption in high-stakes areas, it is critical to provide explanations for their predictions. Existing local explanation methods lack in generating high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Sanjeev Shrestha , Rahul Dubey , Hui Liu

Local model interpretation methods explain individual predictions by assigning an importance value to each input feature. This value is often determined by measuring the change in confidence when a feature is removed. However, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Eric Wallace , Shi Feng , Jordan Boyd-Graber

The challenge of creating interpretable models has been taken up by two main research communities: ML researchers primarily focused on lower-level explainability methods that suit the needs of engineers, and HCI researchers who have more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Juan D. Pinto , Luc Paquette

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff
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