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Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

Complex time-varying systems are often studied by abstracting away from the dynamics of individual components to build a model of the population-level dynamics from the start. However, when building a population-level description, it can be…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-21 Ran Liu , Mehdi Azabou , Max Dabagia , Jingyun Xiao , Eva L. Dyer

Many problems in science and engineering involve time-dependent, high dimensional datasets arising from complex physical processes, which are costly to simulate. In this work, we propose WeldNet: Windowed Encoders for Learning Dynamics, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-15 Biraj Dahal , Jiahui Cheng , Hao Liu , Rongjie Lai , Wenjing Liao

Neural differential equations predict the derivative of a stochastic process. This allows irregular forecasting with arbitrary time-steps. However, the expressive temporal flexibility often comes with a high sensitivity to noise. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eitan , Shie Mannor

We describe and experimentally investigate a method to construct forecasting algorithms for stationary and ergodic processes based on universal measures (or so-called universal data compressors). Using some geophysical and economical time…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-13 Boris Ryabko , Pavel Pristavka

Time series forecasting is a critical task in various domains, where accurate predictions can drive informed decision-making. Traditional forecasting methods often rely on current observations of variables to predict future outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Xiaojing Du , Wenjun Yu , Xiongren Chen , Yifan Guo , Feiyu Yang

The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of data distortions and misalignments. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jiajun Liu , Kun Zhao , Brano Kusy , Ji-rong Wen , Raja Jurdak

Neuro-encoded expression programming(NEEP) that aims to offer a novel continuous representation of combinatorial encoding for genetic programming methods is proposed in this paper. Genetic programming with linear representation uses…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Aftab Anjum , Fengyang Sun , Lin Wang , Jeff Orchard

All organisms make temporal predictions, and their evolutionary fitness level depends on the accuracy of these predictions. In the context of visual perception, the motions of both the observer and objects in the scene structure the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Pierre-Étienne H. Fiquet , Eero P. Simoncelli

Human movement prediction is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose a prediction framework that decouples short-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Encoder-decoder networks with attention have proven to be a powerful way to solve many sequence-to-sequence tasks. In these networks, attention aligns encoder and decoder states and is often used for visualizing network behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Kyle Aitken , Vinay V Ramasesh , Yuan Cao , Niru Maheswaranathan

Weather prediction is a quintessential problem involving the forecasting of a complex, nonlinear, and chaotic high-dimensional dynamical system. This work introduces an efficient reduced-order modeling (ROM) framework for short-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Amirpasha Hedayat , Karthik Duraisamy

The extraction of a scene graph with objects as nodes and mutual relationships as edges is the basis for a deep understanding of image content. Despite recent advances, such as message passing and joint classification, the detection of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Rajat Koner , Suprosanna Shit , Volker Tresp

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

We show that a neural network originally designed for language processing can learn the dynamical rules of a stochastic system by observation of a single dynamical trajectory of the system, and can accurately predict its emergent behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn , Stephen Whitelam

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

We construct a new kind of encoder, leveraging the expressive power of diffusion models. In a traditional variational autoencoder, the encoder and decoder jointly negotiate a latent representation of the input. This is made possible by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Akhil Premkumar , Sarah Lucioni

Current approaches for predicting sets from feature vectors ignore the unordered nature of sets and suffer from discontinuity issues as a result. We propose a general model for predicting sets that properly respects the structure of sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Yan Zhang , Jonathon Hare , Adam Prügel-Bennett

We address the problem of prediction for extreme observations by proposing an extremal linear prediction method. We construct an inner product space of nonnegative random variables derived from transformed-linear combinations of independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jeongjin Lee , Daniel Cooley

Learning system dynamics from observations is a critical problem in many applications over various real-world complex systems, e.g., climate, ecology, and fluid systems. Recently, neural dynamics modeling method have become a prevalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Yiming Wang , Zhengnan Zhang , Genghe Zhang , Jiawen Dan , Changchun Li , Chenlong Hu , Chris Nugent , Jun Liu , Ximing Li , Bo Yang
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