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As a fundamental problem in machine learning, dataset shift induces a paradigm to learn and transfer knowledge under changing environment. Previous methods assume the changes are induced by covariate, which is less practical for complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 You-Wei Luo , Chuan-Xian Ren

Quantification learning deals with the task of estimating the target label distribution under label shift. In this paper, we first present a unifying framework, distribution feature matching (DFM), that recovers as particular instances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Bastien Dussap , Gilles Blanchard , Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

Work in the classification literature has shown that in computing a classification function, one need not know the class membership of all observations in the training set; the unlabeled observations still provide information on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-07 Norman Matloff

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

We address the problem of unsupervised domain adaptation when the source domain differs from the target domain because of a shift in the distribution of a latent subgroup. When this subgroup confounds all observed data, neither covariate…

We introduce a powerful scan statistic and the corresponding test for detecting the presence and pinpointing the location of a change point within the distribution of a data sequence with the data elements residing in a separable metric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Paromita Dubey , Minxing Zheng

Detecting concept drift in high-speed data streams remains challenging, particularly when models must operate on unlabeled data and avoid false alarms caused by benign shifts. While disagreement-based uncertainty has shown promise in neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Lara Sá Neves , Afonso Lourenço , Lizy K. John , Goreti Marreiros

Changes in the data distribution at test time can have deleterious effects on the performance of predictive models $p(y|x)$. We consider situations where there are additional meta-data labels (such as group labels), denoted by $z$, that can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-30 Qingyao Sun , Kevin Murphy , Sayna Ebrahimi , Alexander D'Amour

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

Standard supervised machine learning assumes that the distribution of the source samples used to train an algorithm is the same as the one of the target samples on which it is supposed to make predictions. However, as any data scientist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Pirmin Lemberger , Ivan Panico

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok

Label distribution learning (LDL) is an effective method to predict the relative label description degree (a.k.a. label distribution) of a sample. However, the label distribution is not a complete representation of an instance because it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Jiawei Tang , Yuheng Jia

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We are concerned with the problem of detecting a single change point in the model parameters of time series data generated from an exponential family. In contrast to the existing literature, we allow that the true location of the change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Cassandra Milbradt

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

In this paper we develop a principled, probabilistic, unified approach to non-standard classification tasks, such as semi-supervised, positive-unlabelled, multi-positive-unlabelled and noisy-label learning. We train a classifier on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Jeppe Nørregaard , Lars Kai Hansen

In machine learning, if the training data is an unbiased sample of an underlying distribution, then the learned classification function will make accurate predictions for new samples. However, if the training data is not an unbiased sample,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Wouter M. Kouw , Marco Loog

While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Wonju Lee , Seok-Yong Byun , Jooeun Kim , Minje Park , Kirill Chechil

Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo
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