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Inference and prediction under partial knowledge of a physical system is challenging, particularly when multiple confounding sources influence the measured response. Explicitly accounting for these influences in physics-based models is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Ioannis Christoforos Koune , Alice Cicirello

Stochastic compartmental models are prevalent tools for describing disease spread, but inference under these models is challenging for many types of surveillance data when the marginal likelihood function becomes intractable due to missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Suchismita Roy , Alexander A. Fisher , Jason Xu

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

We consider the problem of anomaly detection with a small set of partially labeled anomaly examples and a large-scale unlabeled dataset. This is a common scenario in many important applications. Existing related methods either exclusively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Guansong Pang , Anton van den Hengel , Chunhua Shen , Longbing Cao

The challenge of learning disentangled representation has recently attracted much attention and boils down to a competition using a new real world disentanglement dataset (Gondal et al., 2019). Various methods based on variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Jie Qiao , Zijian Li , Boyan Xu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

We develop graph-based methods for semi-supervised learning based on label propagation on a data similarity graph. When data is abundant or arrive in a stream, the problems of computation and data storage arise for any graph-based method.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Michal Valko

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

The development of enhanced sampling methods has greatly extended the scope of atomistic simulations, allowing long-time phenomena to be studied with accessible computational resources. Many such methods rely on the identification of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Luigi Bonati , GiovanniMaria Piccini , Michele Parrinello

Class imbalance is a fundamental challenge in medical image segmentation, where frequent classes typically dominate training at the expense of rare classes. Loss-based approaches mitigate imbalance by reweighting the per-pixel loss within…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Iason Skylitsis , Dimitrios Karkalousos , Ivana Išgum

Medical events of interest, such as mortality, often happen at a low rate in electronic medical records, as most admitted patients survive. Training models with this imbalance rate (class density discrepancy) may lead to suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Zepeng Huo , Xiaoning Qian , Shuai Huang , Zhangyang Wang , Bobak J. Mortazavi

Causal phenomena associated with rare events occur across a wide range of engineering problems, such as risk-sensitive safety analysis, accident analysis and prevention, and extreme value theory. However, current methods for causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Chih-Yuan Chiu , Kshitij Kulkarni , Shankar Sastry

The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed. However, in a number of settings, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Roshni Sahoo , Lihua Lei , Stefan Wager

The COVID-19 outbreak has stimulated the interest in the proposal of novel epidemiological models to predict the course of the epidemic so as to help planning effective control strategies. In particular, in order to properly interpret the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Andrea Zugarini , Enrico Meloni , Alessandro Betti , Andrea Panizza , Marco Corneli , Marco Gori

Capturing the inter-dependencies among multiple types of clinically-critical events is critical not only to accurate future event prediction, but also to better treatment planning. In this work, we propose a deep latent state-space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Yuan Xue , Denny Zhou , Nan Du , Andrew M. Dai , Zhen Xu , Kun Zhang , Claire Cui

Causal representation learning has emerged as the center of action in causal machine learning research. In particular, multi-domain datasets present a natural opportunity for showcasing the advantages of causal representation learning over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Kartik Ahuja , Amin Mansouri , Yixin Wang

Probabilistic survival analysis models seek to estimate the distribution of the future occurrence (time) of an event given a set of covariates. In recent years, these models have preferred nonparametric specifications that avoid directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Deming Sheng , Ricardo Henao

Machine learning models play a vital role in the prediction task in several fields of study. In this work, we utilize the ability of machine learning algorithms to predict the occurrence of extreme events in a nonlinear mechanical system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , A. Venkatasen , M. Senthilvelan

With the rapid growth of memory and computing power, datasets are becoming increasingly complex and imbalanced. This is especially severe in the context of clinical data, where there may be one rare event for many cases in the majority…

The process of generating data such as images is controlled by independent and unknown factors of variation. The retrieval of these variables has been studied extensively in the disentanglement, causal representation learning, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu