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A major challenge of climate change adaptation is to assess the effect of changing weather on human health. In spite of an increasing literature on the weather-related health subject, many aspect of the relationship are not known, limiting…

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has shown profound effects on public health and the economy worldwide, it becomes crucial to assess the impact on the virus transmission and develop effective strategies to address the challenge. A…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-12 Chih-Li Sung

Corona VIrus Disease abbreviated as COVID-19 is a novel virus which is initially identified in Wuhan of China in December of 2019 and now this deadly disease has spread all over the world. According to World Health Organization (WHO), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Mamata Das , P. J. A. Alphonse , Selvakumar K

In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a rapid response from governments and researchers worldwide. As of late 2023, over millions have died as a result of COVID-19, with many COVID-19 survivors going on to experience long-term effects…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Yo Yehudi , Lukas Hughes-Noehrer , Carole Goble , Caroline Jay

When pandemics like COVID-19 spread around the world, the rapidly evolving situation compels officials and executives to take prompt decisions and adapt policies depending on the current state of the disease. In this context, it is crucial…

Modeling and analysis of the large scale Covid-19 pandemic data can yield inferences about it's dynamics and characteristics of disease propagation. These inferences can then be correlated with contextual factors like population density,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-07 Preet Mishra , R. K. Brojen Singh

In this paper, we model the trajectory of the cumulative confirmed cases and deaths of COVID-19 (in log scale) via a piecewise linear trend model. The model naturally captures the phase transitions of the epidemic growth rate via…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-10 Feiyu Jiang , Zifeng Zhao , Xiaofeng Shao

In late 2019, COVID-19, a severe respiratory disease, emerged, and since then, the world has been facing a deadly pandemic caused by it. This ongoing pandemic has had a significant effect on different aspects of societies. The uncertainty…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mahdi Rahbar , Samaneh Yazdani

Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA) has become a widely-used dimension reduction tool for functional data analysis. When additional covariates are available, existing FPCA models integrate them either in the mean function or in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ci-Ren Jiang , Eardi Lila , John AD Aston , Jane-Ling Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted delayed reporting as a significant impediment to effective disease surveillance and decision-making. In the absence of timely data, statistical models which account for delays can be adopted to nowcast…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-19 Oliver Stoner , Theo Economou , Alba Halliday

Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) is a key tool in the study of functional data, driving both exploratory analyses and feature construction for use in formal modeling and testing procedures. However, existing methods for FPCA…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Caitrin Murphy , Eric Laber , Rhonda Merwin , Brian Reich , Jake Koerner

The COVID-19 disease spreads swiftly, and nearly three months after the first positive case was confirmed in China, Coronavirus started to spread all over the United States. Some states and counties reported high number of positive cases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Samira Ziyadidegan , Moein Razavi , Homa Pesarakli , Amir Hossein Javid , Madhav Erraguntla

We recently described a dynamic causal model of a COVID-19 outbreak within a single region. Here, we combine several of these (epidemic) models to create a (pandemic) model of viral spread among regions. Our focus is on a second wave of new…

Functional data analysis, which handles data arising from curves, surfaces, volumes, manifolds and beyond in a variety of scientific fields, is a rapidly developing area in modern statistics and data science in the recent decades. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-21 Xiaoke Zhang , Wu Xue , Qiyue Wang

The unprecedented global crisis brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic has sparked numerous efforts to create predictive models for the detection and prognostication of SARS-CoV-2 infections with the goal of helping health systems allocate…

As the COVID-19 outbreak is developing the two most frequently reported statistics seem to be the raw confirmed case and case fatalities counts. Focusing on Italy, one of the hardest hit countries, we look at how these two values could be…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Emanuele Guidotti , Stefano Maria Iacus , Marcin Okrój

The problem of complex data analysis is a central topic of modern statistical science and learning systems and is becoming of broader interest with the increasing prevalence of high-dimensional data. The challenge is to develop statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Faicel Chamroukhi , Hien D. Nguyen

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 10th, 2020, more than 7.1 million people were infected, and more than 400 thousand have died worldwide. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Ramon Gomes da Silva , Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro , Viviana Cocco Mariani , Leandro dos Santos Coelho
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