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COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

Analytical descriptions of patterns concerning spread and fatality during an epidemic, covering natural as well as restriction periods, are important for reducing damage. We employ a scaling model to investigate this aspect in the real data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Subir K. Das

Since the World Health Organization (WHO) characterized COVID-19 as a pandemic in March 2020, there have been over 600 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 and more than six million deaths as of October 2022. The relationship between the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Hanjia Lyu , Arsal Imtiaz , Yufei Zhao , Jiebo Luo

Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-28 Sarah Good , Anthony O'Hare

COVID-19 has spread all over the world, having an enormous effect on our daily life and work. In response to the epidemic, a lot of important decisions need to be taken to save communities and economies worldwide. Data clearly plays a vital…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Shuo Yu , Qing Qing , Chen Zhang , Ahsan Shehzad , Giles Oatley , Feng Xia

We present an extension of the Li and Lee model to quantify mortality in five European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. The first two factors are used to model the pre-COVID mortality, with the first layer modelling the common trend…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-15 Frank van Berkum , Bertrand Melenberg , Michel Vellekoop

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a public health emergency of international concern affecting 201 countries and territories around the globe. As of April 4, 2020, it has caused a pandemic outbreak with more than 11,16,643…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-18 Tanujit Chakraborty , Indrajit Ghosh

The statistical dynamics of a pathogen within a population depend on a range of factors: population density, the effectiveness and investment into social distancing, public policy measures and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-04 Chris von Csefalvay

This paper proposes a cluster-based method to analyze the evolution of multivariate time series and applies this to the COVID-19 pandemic. On each day, we partition countries into clusters according to both their case and death counts. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Nick James , Max Menzies

We provide an insight into the open data resources pertinent to the study of the spread of Covid-19 pandemic and its control. We identify the variables required to analyze fundamental aspects like seasonal behaviour, regional mortality…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-12 Teodoro Alamo , Daniel G. Reina , Martina Mammarella , Alberto Abella

The continuous advances in data collection and storage techniques allow us to observe and record real-life processes in great detail. Examples include financial transaction data, fMRI images, satellite photos, earths pollution distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-26 Łukasz Kidziński

Having accurate and timely data on confirmed active COVID-19 cases is challenging, since it depends on testing capacity and the availability of an appropriate infrastructure to perform tests and aggregate their results. In this paper, we…

After COVID-19 was first reported in China at the end of 2019, it took only a few months for this local crisis to turn into a global pandemic with unprecedented disruptions of everyday life. However, at any moment in time the situation in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-03-16 Thomas Kreuz

A multiple objective space-time forecasting approach is presented involving cyclical curve log-regression, and multivariate time series spatial residual correlation analysis. Specifically, the mean quadratic loss function is minimized in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 A. Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

COVID-19 has been affecting every aspect of societal life including human mobility since December, 2019. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility patterns at the state level within the United States. From the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Songhe Wang , Kangda Wei , Lei Lin , Weizi Li

The US COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a repository of COVID-19 forecasts from over 50 independent research groups, is used by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for their official COVID-19 communications. As such, the Forecast Hub…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-20 Saad Mohammad Abrar , Naman Awasthi , Daniel Smolyak , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

In this paper, we study the trending behaviour of COVID-19 data at country level, and draw attention to some existing econometric tools which are potentially helpful to understand the trend better in future studies. In our empirical study,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-25 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Oliver Linton , Bin Peng

We develop a novel temporal complex network approach to quantify the US county level spread dynamics of COVID-19. The objective is to study the effects of the local spread dynamics, COVID-19 cases and death, and Google search activities on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Asim Kumer Dey , Toufiqul Haq , Kumer Das , Irina Panovska

The case fatality ratio (CFR) for COVID-19 is difficult to estimate. One difficulty is due to ignoring or overestimating time delay between reporting and death. We claim that all of these cause large errors and artificial time dependence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Phoebus Rosakis , Maria Marketou