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Machine learning models often degrade when deployed on data distributions different from their training data. Challenging conventional validation paradigms, we demonstrate that higher in-distribution (ID) bias can lead to better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Ruixuan Chen , Wentao Li , Jiahui Xiao , Yuchen Li , Yimin Tang , Xiaonan Wang

A compression function is a map that slims down an observational set into a subset of reduced size, while preserving its informational content. In multiple applications, the condition that one new observation makes the compressed set change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Marco C. Campi , Simone Garatti

A fundamental task in AI is providing performance guarantees for predictions made in unseen domains. In practice, there can be substantial uncertainty about the distribution of new data, and corresponding variability in the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Kasra Jalaldoust , Alexis Bellot , Elias Bareinboim

The transformer's remarkable ability to perform in-context learning (ICL) has sparked a wide range of studies designed to understand its strengths and limitations. However, a theoretical understanding of when ICL can and cannot generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Soo Min Kwon , Alec S. Xu , Can Yaras , Laura Balzano , Qing Qu

This paper introduces a novel measure-theoretic theory for machine learning that does not require statistical assumptions. Based on this theory, a new regularization method in deep learning is derived and shown to outperform previous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-08 Kenji Kawaguchi , Yoshua Bengio , Vikas Verma , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Using information-theoretic principles, we consider the generalization error (gen-error) of iterative semi-supervised learning (SSL) algorithms that iteratively generate pseudo-labels for a large amount of unlabelled data to progressively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Haiyun He , Hanshu Yan , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Generalization beyond a training dataset is a main goal of machine learning, but theoretical understanding of generalization remains an open problem for many models. The need for a new theory is exacerbated by recent observations in deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-08 Abdulkadir Canatar , Blake Bordelon , Cengiz Pehlevan

Generalization to unseen data remains poorly understood for deep learning classification and foundation models, especially in the open set scenario. How can one assess the ability of networks to adapt to new or extended versions of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Luciano Dyballa , Evan Gerritz , Steven W. Zucker

Despite impressive progress in deep learning, generalizing far beyond the training distribution is an important open challenge. In this work, we consider few-shot classification, and aim to shed light on what makes some novel classes easier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Mengye Ren , Eleni Triantafillou , Kuan-Chieh Wang , James Lucas , Jake Snell , Xaq Pitkow , Andreas S. Tolias , Richard Zemel

Transformer-based models excel in various tasks but their generalization capabilities, especially in arithmetic reasoning, remain incompletely understood. Arithmetic tasks provide a controlled framework to explore these capabilities, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Xingcheng Xu , Zibo Zhao , Haipeng Zhang , Yanqing Yang

Developing and deploying machine learning models safely depends on the ability to characterize and compare their abilities to generalize to new environments. Although recent work has proposed a variety of methods that can directly predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Nathan Ng , Neha Hulkund , Kyunghyun Cho , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Diffusion models are powerful generative models that produce high-quality samples from complex data. While their infinite-data behavior is well understood, their generalization with finite data remains less clear. Classical learning theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Claudia Merger , Sebastian Goldt

A trained ML model is deployed on another `test' dataset where target feature values (labels) are unknown. Drift is distribution change between the training and deployment data, which is concerning if model performance changes. For a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Samuel Ackerman , Eitan Farchi , Orna Raz , Marcel Zalmanovici , Parijat Dube

Understanding why deep neural networks (DNNs) fail to generalize to unseen samples remains a long-standing challenge. Existing studies mainly examine changes in externally observable factors such as data, representations, or outputs, yet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Huiqi Deng , Yibo Li , Quanshi Zhang , Peng Zhang , Hongbin Pei , Xia Hu

The paper proposes a semantic clustering based deduction learning by mimicking the learning and thinking process of human brains. Human beings can make judgments based on experience and cognition, and as a result, no one would recognize an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Wenchi Ma , Xuemin Tu , Bo Luo , Guanghui Wang

Animals perform near-optimal probabilistic inference in a wide range of psychophysical tasks. Probabilistic inference requires trial-to-trial representation of the uncertainties associated with task variables and subsequent use of this…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-25 A. Emin Orhan , Wei Ji Ma

Machine learning methods must be trusted to make appropriate decisions in real-world environments, even when faced with out-of-distribution (OOD) samples. Many current approaches simply aim to detect OOD examples and alert the user when an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Randolph Linderman , Jingyang Zhang , Nathan Inkawhich , Hai Li , Yiran Chen

Generalization beyond the training distribution is a core challenge in machine learning. The common practice of mixing and shuffling examples when training neural networks may not be optimal in this regard. We show that partitioning the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Damien Teney , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Anton van den Hengel

Statistical learning theory is the foundation of machine learning, providing theoretical bounds for the risk of models learned from a (single) training set, assumed to issue from an unknown probability distribution. In actual deployment,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Michele Caprio , Maryam Sultana , Eleni Elia , Fabio Cuzzolin

Much attention has been devoted recently to the generalization puzzle in deep learning: large, deep networks can generalize well, but existing theories bounding generalization error are exceedingly loose, and thus cannot explain this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-08 Andrew K. Lampinen , Surya Ganguli