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To contain the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the non-pharmacological epidemic control measures in response to the COVID-19 outbreak is reducing the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2 in the population through (physical)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-19 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

Analytical descriptions of patterns concerning spread and fatality during an epidemic, covering natural as well as restriction periods, are important for reducing damage. We employ a scaling model to investigate this aspect in the real data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-25 Subir K. Das

Treatment protocols, disease understanding, and viral characteristics changed over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic; as a result, the risks associated with patient comorbidities and biomarkers also changed. We add to the conversation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Benjamin Lengerich , Mark E. Nunnally , Yin Aphinyanaphongs , Rich Caruana

Time-to-event analysis is an important statistical tool for allocating clinical resources such as ICU beds. However, classical techniques like the Cox model cannot directly incorporate images due to their high dimensionality. We propose a…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Michelle Shu , Richard Strong Bowen , Charles Herrmann , Gengmo Qi , Michele Santacatterina , Ramin Zabih

The outbreak of COVID-19 disrupts the life of many people in the world. The state of Arizona in the U.S. emerges as one of the country's newest COVID-19 hot spots. Accurate forecasting for COVID-19 cases will help governments to implement…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Haiyan Wang , Nao Yamamoto

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy making. Predictions of mortality and hospitalization help governments meet planning and resource allocation challenges. In this paper, we consider the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-21 Kathryn S. Taylor , James W. Taylor

COVID-19 has disrupted the global economy and well-being of people at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. To contain the disease, an effective early warning system that predicts the locations of outbreaks is of crucial importance. Studies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Satish V Ukkusuri

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted lives and economies across the globe, leading to many deaths. While vaccination is an important intervention, its roll-out is slow and unequal across the globe. Therefore, extensive testing still remains…

Parking demand forecasting and behaviour analysis have received increasing attention in recent years because of their critical role in mitigating traffic congestion and understanding travel behaviours. However, previous studies usually only…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-18 Shuhui Gong , Xiaopeng Mo , Rui Cao , Yu Liu , Wei Tu , Ruibin Bai

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges for governments and healthcare systems worldwide, highlighting the critical importance of understanding the factors that contribute to virus transmission. This study aimed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Md Khairul Islam , Tyler Valentine , Royal Wang , Levi Davis , Matt Manner , Judy Fox

We analyse the temporal and regional structure in mortality rates related to COVID-19 infections. We relate the fatality date of each deceased patient to the corresponding day of registration of the infection, leading to a nowcasting model…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Marc Schneble , Giacomo De Nicola , Göran Kauermann , Ursula Berger

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

An important parameter for COVID-19 is the case fatality rate (CFR). It has been applied to wide applications, including the measure of the severity of the infection, the estimation of the number of infected cases, risk assessment etc.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Donghui Yan , Aiyou Chen , Buqing Yang

Motivated by the current Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic, which is due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and the important problem of forecasting daily deaths and cumulative deaths, this paper examines the construction of prediction regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 T. KIm , B. Lieberman , G. Luta , E. Pena

The rapid spread of COVID-19 cases in recent months has strained hospital resources, making rapid and accurate triage of patients presenting to emergency departments a necessity. Machine learning techniques using clinical data such as chest…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Anuroop Sriram , Matthew Muckley , Koustuv Sinha , Farah Shamout , Joelle Pineau , Krzysztof J. Geras , Lea Azour , Yindalon Aphinyanaphongs , Nafissa Yakubova , William Moore

As multiple adverse events in 2021 illustrated, virtually all aspects of our societal functioning -- from water and food security to energy supply to healthcare -- more than ever depend on the dynamics of environmental factors.…

This article explores the territorial differences in the onset and spread of COVID-19 and the excess mortality associated with the pandemic, across the European NUTS3 regions and US counties. Both in Europe and in the US, the pandemic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-13 Fabrizio Natale , Stefano Maria Iacus , Alessandra Conte , Spyridon Spyratos , Francesco Sermi

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang
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