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Verifying the correctness of Bayesian computation is challenging. This is especially true for complex models that are common in practice, as these require sophisticated model implementations and algorithms. In this paper we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Sean Talts , Michael Betancourt , Daniel Simpson , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

In this work, we quantitatively calibrate the performance of global and local models in federated learning through a multi-criterion optimization-based framework, which we cast as a constrained program. The objective of a device is its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Amrit Singh Bedi , Chen Fan , Alec Koppel , Anit Kumar Sahu , Brian M. Sadler , Furong Huang , Dinesh Manocha

Particle-in-Cell (PIC) approach for modeling dense granular flows has gained popularity in recent years due to its time to solution efficiency. The methodology is useful for modeling large-scale systems with a relatively lower computational…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-03 Aytekin Gel , Avinash Vaidheeswaran , Mary Ann Clarke

Federated Learning aims to learn a global model on the server side that generalizes to all clients in a privacy-preserving manner, by leveraging the local models from different clients. Existing solutions focus on either regularizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Zhuang Qi , Lei Meng , Zitan Chen , Han Hu , Hui Lin , Xiangxu Meng

Bayesian model calibration is central to digital twins and computer experiments, as it aligns model outputs with field observations by estimating calibration parameters and correcting systematic model bias. Classical Bayesian calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

Computer model calibration is a crucial step in building a reliable computer model. In the face of massive physical observations, a fast estimation for the calibration parameters is urgently needed. To alleviate the computational burden, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Shurui Lv , Yan Wang , Jun Yu

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

It has become commonplace to use complex computer models to predict outcomes in regions where data does not exist. Typically these models need to be calibrated and validated using some experimental data, which often consists of multiple…

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sequential approach for optimizing black-box objective functions using zeroth-order noisy observations. In BO, Gaussian processes (GPs) are employed as probabilistic surrogate models to estimate the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Dongwon Kim , Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Joonhyuk Kang , Osvaldo Simeone

Recent work on hyperparameters optimization (HPO) has shown the possibility of training certain hyperparameters together with regular parameters. However, these online HPO algorithms still require running evaluation on a set of validation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Jingkang Wang , Mengye Ren , Ilija Bogunovic , Yuwen Xiong , Raquel Urtasun

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Bayesian cubature (BC) is a popular inferential perspective on the cubature of expensive integrands, wherein the integrand is emulated using a stochastic process model. Several approaches have been put forward to encode sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-09 Matthew A Fisher , Chris J Oates , Catherine Powell , Aretha Teckentrup

We consider Bayesian online static parameter estimation for state-space models. This is a very important problem, but is very computationally challenging as the state- of-the art methods that are exact, often have a computational cost that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-03 Yan Zhou , Ajay Jasra

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Typical algorithms for point cloud registration such as Iterative Closest Point (ICP) require a favorable initial transform estimate between two point clouds in order to perform a successful registration. State-of-the-art methods for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Harel Biggie , Andrew Beathard , Christoffer Heckman

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente

Parameter calibration is essential for reducing uncertainty and improving predictive fidelity in physics-based models, yet it is often limited by the high computational cost of model evaluations. Bayesian calibration methods provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Maike F. Holthuijzen , Atlanta Chakraborty , Elizabeth Krath , Tommie Catanach

Computational simulation is increasingly relied upon for high-consequence engineering decisions, and a foundational element to solid mechanics simulations, such as finite element analysis (FEA), is a credible constitutive or material model.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Denielle Ricciardi , Tom Seidl , Brian Lester , Amanda Jones , Elizabeth Jones

Inductive Conformal Prediction (ICP) provides a practical and effective approach for equipping deep learning models with uncertainty estimates in the form of set-valued predictions which are guaranteed to contain the ground truth with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Apoorva Sharma , Sushant Veer , Asher Hancock , Heng Yang , Marco Pavone , Anirudha Majumdar
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