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High-dimensional data acquired from biological experiments such as next generation sequencing are subject to a number of confounding effects. These effects include both technical effects, such as variation across batches from instrument…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Kabir Manghnani , Adam Drake , Nathan Wan , Imran Haque

Industrial applications often exhibit multiple in-control patterns due to varying operating conditions, which makes a single functional linear model (FLM) inadequate to capture the complexity of the true relationship between a functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Christian Capezza , Fabio Centofanti , Davide Forcina , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo

This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

There is ongoing debate about whether large language models (LLMs) can serve as substitutes for human participants in survey and experimental research. While recent work in fields such as marketing and psychology has explored the potential…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Steven Wang , Kyle Hunt , Shaojie Tang , Kenneth Joseph

Uncovering the heterogeneous effects of particular policies or "treatments" is a key concern for researchers and policymakers. A common approach is to report average treatment effects across subgroups based on observable covariates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-02 Riccardo Di Francesco

Death benefits are generally the largest cash flow item that affects financial statements of life insurers where some still do not have a systematic process to track and monitor death claims experience. In this article, we explore data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-27 Shuang Yin , Guojun Gan , Emiliano A. Valdez , Jeyaraj Vadiveloo

Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , Marzyeh Ghassemi , David Cutler , Ziad Obermeyer

Ensembles of Deep Neural Networks, Deep Ensembles, are widely used as a simple way to boost predictive performance. However, their impact on algorithmic fairness is not well understood yet. Algorithmic fairness examines how a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Kajetan Schweighofer , Adrian Arnaiz-Rodriguez , Sepp Hochreiter , Nuria Oliver

We use a Cooperative Decision Making (CDM) model to study the effect of committed minorities on group behavior in time of crisis. The CDM model has been shown to generate consensus through a phase-transition process that at criticality…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-10 Malgorzata Turalska , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

Brain connectivity with functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is a popular approach for detecting differences between healthy and clinical populations. Before creating a functional brain network, the fMRI time series must undergo…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-02-20 A. M. Triana , E. Glerean , J. Saramäki , O. Korhonen

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherwise bias results. Random effects or mixed models approaches,…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 J. R. Lockwood , Daniel F. McCaffrey

In recent years, process mining emerged as a proven technology to analyze and improve operational processes. An expanding range of organizations using process mining in their daily operation brings a broader spectrum of processes to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Viki Peeva , Wil M. P. van der Aalst

Population-adjusted indirect comparisons estimate treatment effects when access to individual patient data is limited and there are cross-trial differences in effect modifiers. Popular methods include matching-adjusted indirect comparison…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-05 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

Algorithmic bias often arises as a result of differential subgroup validity, in which predictive relationships vary across groups. For example, in toxic language detection, comments targeting different demographic groups can vary markedly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Soumyajit Gupta , Sooyong Lee , Maria De-Arteaga , Matthew Lease

Applied analysts often use the differences-in-differences (DID) method to estimate the causal effect of policy interventions with observational data. The method is widely used, as the required before and after comparison of a treated and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-04 Luke J. Keele , Dylan S. Small , Jesse Y. Hsu , Colin B. Fogarty

Complex systems research is becomingly increasingly data-driven, particularly in the social and biological domains. Many of the systems from which sample data are collected feature structural heterogeneity at the mesoscopic scale (i.e.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Neil F. Johnson , Sean Gourley , Gesine Reinert , Michael Spagat

Robustness is of central importance in machine learning and has given rise to the fields of domain generalization and invariant learning, which are concerned with improving performance on a test distribution distinct from but related to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Robert Adragna , Elliot Creager , David Madras , Richard Zemel

Optimizing prediction accuracy can come at the expense of fairness. Towards minimizing discrimination against a group, fair machine learning algorithms strive to equalize the behavior of a model across different groups, by imposing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Hongyan Chang , Ta Duy Nguyen , Sasi Kumar Murakonda , Ehsan Kazemi , Reza Shokri

In pre- and non-clinical toxicology, the reduction of animal use is highly desireable. Although approaches for possible sample size reduction in the concurrent control group were suggested previously under the virtual control groups…

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to inform critical decisions. There is a growing concern about bias, that algorithms may produce uneven outcomes for individuals in different demographic groups. In this work, we measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Runshan Fu , Yangfan Liang , Peter Zhang
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