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Configurable Markov Decision Processes (Conf-MDPs) have recently been introduced as an extension of the traditional Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) to model the real-world scenarios in which there is the possibility to intervene in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Alberto Maria Metelli

We investigate the classical active pure exploration problem in Markov Decision Processes, where the agent sequentially selects actions and, from the resulting system trajectory, aims at identifying the best policy as fast as possible. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Aymen Al Marjani , Aurélien Garivier , Alexandre Proutiere

As the complexity of modern control systems increases, it becomes challenging to derive an accurate model of the uncertainty that affects their dynamics. Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) provides a powerful framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Riccardo Cescon , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) provides a framework for decision-making under distributional uncertainty, yet its effectiveness can be compromised by outliers in the training data. This paper introduces a principled approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Shuyao Li , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jelena Diakonikolas

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Rui Gao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

In the past couple of years, various approaches to representing and quantifying different types of predictive uncertainty in machine learning, notably in the setting of classification, have been proposed on the basis of second-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Yusuf Sale , Viktor Bengs , Michele Caprio , Eyke Hüllermeier

Adversarially robust optimization (ARO) has emerged as the *de facto* standard for training models that hedge against adversarial attacks in the test stage. While these models are robust against adversarial attacks, they tend to suffer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Aras Selvi , Eleonora Kreacic , Mohsen Ghassemi , Vamsi Potluru , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

We consider a robust approach to address uncertainty in model parameters in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), which are widely used to model dynamic optimization in many applications. Most prior works consider the case where the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-02 Vineet Goyal , Julien Grand-Clément

We determine the convergence speed of a numerical scheme for approximating one-dimensional continuous strong Markov processes. The scheme is based on the construction of coin tossing Markov chains whose laws can be embedded into the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov

This paper proposes a data-driven distributionally robust shortest path (DRSP) model where the distribution of the travel time in the transportation network can only be partially observed through a finite number of samples. Specifically, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Zhuolin Wang , Keyou You , Shiji Song , Yuli Zhang

We present a methodology for predictable and safe covariance steering control of uncertain nonlinear stochastic processes. The systems under consideration are subject to general uncertainties, which include unbounded random disturbances…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Vivek Khatana , Duo Wang , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

The solution convergence of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) can be accelerated by prioritized sweeping of states ranked by their potential impacts to other states. In this paper, we present new heuristics to speed up the solution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Shoubhik Debnath , Lantao Liu , Gaurav Sukhatme

We study the sample complexity of obtaining an $\epsilon$-optimal policy in \emph{Robust} discounted Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs), given only access to a generative model of the nominal kernel. This problem is widely studied in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Pierre Clavier , Erwan Le Pennec , Matthieu Geist

We consider the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model of principal component analysis (PCA) to account for uncertainty in the underlying probability distribution. The resulting formulation leads to a nonsmooth constrained min-max…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Lei Wang , Xin Liu , Xiaojun Chen

Estimating the density of a distribution from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics. In many practical settings, the Wasserstein distance is an appropriate error metric for density estimation. For example, when estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Vitaly Feldman , Audra McMillan , Satchit Sivakumar , Kunal Talwar

Here, we explore the problem of error propagation mitigation in modular digital twins as a sequential decision process. Building on a companion study that used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to infer latent error regimes from surrogate-physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Annice Najafi , Shokoufeh Mirzaei

Robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) aim to handle changing or partially known system dynamics. To solve them, one typically resorts to robust optimization methods. However, this significantly increases computational complexity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Esther Derman , Matthieu Geist , Shie Mannor

This paper studies the expected optimal value of a mixed 0-1 programming problem with uncertain objective coefficients following a joint distribution. We assume that the true distribution is not known exactly, but a set of independent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Guanglin Xu , Samuel Burer

Distributional ambiguity sets provide quantifiable ways to characterize the uncertainty about the true probability distribution of random variables of interest. This makes them a key element in data-driven robust optimization by exploiting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

We consider finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) with convex constraints and known dynamics. In principle, this problem is amenable to off-the-shelf convex optimization solvers, but typically this approach suffers from poor scalability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Panagiotis D. Grontas , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros
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