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The Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach for nuclear systems modeling and simulation requires that the prediction uncertainty must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within acceptance criteria. A…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Xu Wu

With the ever-increasing use of Reynolds-Averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) simulations in mission-critical applications, the quantification of model-form uncertainty in RANS models has attracted attention in the turbulence modeling community.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-28 Heng Xiao , Jian-Xun Wang , Roger G. Ghanem

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying reliable Deep Learning (DL) models in high-stakes applications. Recently, General Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (GT2-FLSs) have been proven to be effective for UQ, offering Prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Yusuf Guven , Tufan Kumbasar

Quantum simulation is one of the key applications of quantum computing, which accelerates research and development in the fields such as chemistry and material science. The recent development of noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ)…

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

In computational fluid dynamics simulations of industrial flows, models based on the Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) equations are expected to play an important role in decades to come. However, model uncertainties are still a major…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-01 Heng Xiao , Paola Cinnella

In this paper we demonstrate the only available scalable information bounds for quantities of interest of high dimensional probabilistic models. Scalability of inequalities allows us to (a) obtain uncertainty quantification bounds for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

The Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) models are the most common form of model in turbulence simulations. They are used to calculate Reynolds stress tensor and give robust results for engineering flows. But RANS model predictions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Khashayar Nobarani , Seyed Esmaeil Razavi

This paper is the second part of a two-part series, which introduces and demonstrates a Validation and Uncertainty Quantification (VUQ) framework that serves two major purposes: i). quantify the uncertainties of the closure relation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-23 Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Ralph Smith

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

Aerospace design is increasingly incorporating Design Under Uncertainty based approaches to lead to more robust and reliable optimal designs. These approaches require dependable estimates of uncertainty in simulations for their success. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-28 Marcel Matha , Christian Morsbach

This paper addresses the challenge of transient stability in power systems with missing parameters and uncertainty propagation in swing equations. We introduce a novel application of Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), specifically an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Ren Wang , Ming Zhong , Kaidi Xu , Lola Giráldez Sánchez-Cortés , Ignacio de Cominges Guerra

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

In this paper, we describe an open source Python toolkit named Uncertainty Quantification 360 (UQ360) for the uncertainty quantification of AI models. The goal of this toolkit is twofold: first, to provide a broad range of capabilities to…

This article deals with the problem of the uncertainty in rule-based systems (RBS), but from the perspective of quantum computing (QC). In this work we first remember the characteristics of Quantum Rule-Based Systems (QRBS), a concept…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Vicente Moret-Bonillo , Isaac Fernández-Varela , Diego Alvarez-Estevez

The goals of this chapter are twofold. First, we wish to introduce molecular dynamics (MD) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) in a common setting in order to demonstrate how the latter can increase confidence in the former. In some cases,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-09 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew Dienstfrey

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

With increasing deployment of machine learning systems in various real-world tasks, there is a greater need for accurate quantification of predictive uncertainty. While the common goal in uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Youngseog Chung , Ian Char , Han Guo , Jeff Schneider , Willie Neiswanger

Parametric uncertainty in nonlinear dynamical systems can fundamentally alter bifurcation behaviour, leading to qualitative response changes. Predicting operating margins/envelopes under such uncertainties is critical but challenging:…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Dongxiao Hong , David A. W. Barton , Simon A. Neild