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Now that SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) vaccines are developed, it is very important to plan its distribution strategy. In this paper, we formulated a multi-objective linear programming model to optimize vaccine distribution and applied it to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Jose Marie Antonio Minoza , Vena Pearl Bongolan , Joshua Frankie Rayo

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

Timely and effective decision-making is critical during epidemics to reduce preventable infections and deaths. This demands integrated models that jointly capture disease dynamics, vaccine distribution, regional disparities, and behavioral…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Kimiya Jozani , Nihal A. Sageer , Hode Eldardiry , Sait Tunc , Esra Buyuktahtakin Toy

Scarcity of health care resources could result in the unavoidable consequence of rationing. For example, ventilators are often limited in supply, especially during public health emergencies or in resource-constrained health care settings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Yikuan Li , Chengsheng Mao , Kaixuan Huang , Hanyin Wang , Zheng Yu , Mengdi Wang , Yuan Luo

Addressed in this work is the performance of five popular algorithms, which aim at assessing the dissemination dynamics of the COVID-19 disease on the basis of the time series of new confirmed cases. The tests are based on simulated data,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-10 Evangelos Matsinos

Background: Recently, a high number of daily positive COVID-19 cases have been reported in regions with relatively high vaccination rates; hence, booster vaccination has become necessary. In addition, infections caused by the different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Essam A. Rashed , Sachiko Kodera , Akimasa Hirata

How to strategically allocate the available vaccines is a crucial issue for pandemic control. In this work, we propose a mathematical framework for optimal stabilizing vaccine allocation, where our goal is to send the infections to zero as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

The COVID19 pandemic has highlighted the lack of resilience in supply chains, as global networks fail from disruptions at single nodes and connections. Through an overview of the existing vaccine and pharmaceutical supply chain publications…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Maureen S. Golan , Benjamin D. Trump , Jeffrey C. Cegan , Igor Linkov

Clinical trials of a vaccine during an epidemic face particular challenges, such as the pressure to identify an effective vaccine quickly to control the epidemic, and the effect that time-space-varying infection incidence has on the power…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Rob Johnson , Chris Jackson , Anne Presanis , Sofia S. Villar , Daniela De Angelis

COVID-19 will be a continuous threat to human population despite having a few vaccines at hand until we reach the endemic state through natural herd immunity and total immunization through universal vaccination. However, the vaccine acts as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-26 V. R. Saiprasad , R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

The potential waning of the vaccination immunity to COVID-19 could pose threats to public health, as it is tenable that the timing of such waning would synchronize with the near-complete restoration of normalcy. Should also testing be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-28 Agnieszka Truszkowska , Lorenzo Zino , Sachit Butail , Emanuele Caroppo , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Alessandro Rizzo , Maurizio Porfiri

To accurately predict the regional spread of Covid-19 infection, this study proposes a novel hybrid model which combines a Long short-term memory (LSTM) artificial recurrent neural network with dynamic behavioral models. Several factors and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-08 Seid Miad Zandavi , Taha Hossein Rashidi , Fatemeh Vafaee

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted significant challenges in the allocation of vital healthcare resources. Existing epidemiological models, specifically compartmental models, aimed to predict the spread of the COVID-19 virus and its impact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Hieu Bui , Sandra Eksioglu , Ruben Proano

The screening testing is an effective tool to control the early spread of an infectious disease such as COVID-19. When the total testing capacity is limited, we aim to optimally allocate testing resources among n counties. We build a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-28 Yaxuan Huang , Zheng Tracy Ke , Jiashun Jin

Qatar has undergone distinct waves of COVID-19 infections, compounded by the emergence of variants, posing additional complexities. This research uniquely delves into the varied efficacy of existing vaccines and the pivotal role of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Elizabeth Amona , Indranil Sahoo , Edward Boone , Ryad Ghanam

Optimal use and distribution of Covid-19 vaccines involves adjustments of dosing. Due to the rapidly-evolving pandemic, such adjustments often need to be introduced before full efficacy data are available. As demonstrated in other areas of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Mario Giorgi , Rajat Desikan , Piet H. van der Graaf , Andrzej M. Kierzek

We propose a multi-layer network model for the spread of COVID-19 that accounts for interactions within the family, between schoolmates, and casual contacts in the population. We utilize the proposed model-calibrated on epidemiological and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-24 Christian Bongiorno , Lorenzo Zino

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim