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This paper introduces two families of probability distributions for Bayesian analysis of hypertoroidal data. The first family consists of symmetric distributions derived from the projection of multivariate normal distributions under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Shogo Kato , Gianluca Mastrantonio , Masayuki Ishikawa

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Konstantin Göbler , Tobias Windisch , Mathias Drton

Vector quantile regression (VQR) is an optimal transport (OT) problem subject to a mean-independence constraint that extends classical linear quantile regression to vector response variables. Motivated by computational considerations, prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Kengo Kato , Boyu Wang

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

Factor models are a parsimonious way to explain the dependence of variables using several latent variables. In Gaussian 1-factor and structural factor models (such as bi-factor, oblique factor) and their factor copula counterparts, factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

We show how to construct the implied copula process of response values from a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with prior on the leaf node variances. This copula process, defined on the covariate space, can be paired with any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Jan Martin Wenkel , Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

In many applications, input data are sampled functions taking their values in infinite dimensional spaces rather than standard vectors. This fact has complex consequences on data analysis algorithms that motivate modifications of them. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fabrice Rossi , Nathalie Villa

Rank-based dependence measures such as Spearman's footrule are robust and invariant, but they often fail to capture directional or asymmetric dependence in multivariate settings. This paper introduces a new family of directional Spearman's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Enrique de Amo , David García-Fernández , Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Parametric copula families have been known to flexibly capture various dependence patterns, e.g., either positive or negative dependence in either the lower or upper tails of bivariate distributions. In this paper, our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Ruyi Pan , Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Radu Craiu

The inference of causal relationships among observed variables is a pivotal, longstanding problem in the scientific community. An intuitive method for quantifying these causal links involves examining the response of one variable to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-27 Gabriele Di Antonio , Gianni Valerio Vinci

An extension of the empirical copula is considered by combining an estimator of a multivariate cumulative distribution function with estimators of the marginal cumulative distribution functions for marginal estimators that are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Johan Segers

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

We discuss two simple but useful observations that allow the construction of modular forms from given ones using invariant theory. The first one deals with elliptic modular forms and their derivatives, and generalizes the Rankin-Cohen…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-10 Fabien Cléry , Gerard van der Geer

The data driven extrapolation requires the definition of a functional model depending on the available data and has the application scope of providing reliable predictions on the unknown dynamics. Since data might be scattered, we drive our…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Rosanna Campagna , Emma Perracchione

Bell's theorem shows that our intuitive understanding of causation must be overturned in light of quantum correlations. Nevertheless, quantum mechanics does not permit signalling and hence a notion of cause remains. Understanding this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-19 Mirjam Weilenmann , Roger Colbeck

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

A structural causal model is made of endogenous (manifest) and exogenous (latent) variables. We show that endogenous observations induce linear constraints on the probabilities of the exogenous variables. This allows to exactly map a causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

We establish exponential inequalities and Cramer-type moderate deviation theorems for a class of V-statistics under strong mixing conditions. Our theory is developed via kernel expansion based on random Fourier features. This type of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Yandi Shen , Fang Han , Daniela Witten
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