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The accuracy of the household electricity consumption forecast is vital in taking better cost effective and energy efficient decisions. In order to design accurate, proper and efficient forecasting model, characteristics of the series have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-20 T. O. Benli

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) which are a branch of artificial intelligence, have shown their high value in lots of applications and are used as a suitable forecasting method. Therefore, this study aims at forecasting imports in OECD…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Soheila Khajoui , Saeid Dehyadegari , Sayyed Abdolmajid Jalaee

COVID-19 has infected more than 68 million people worldwide since it was first detected about a year ago. Machine learning time series models have been implemented to forecast COVID-19 infections. In this paper, we develop time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Leila Ismail , Huned Materwala , Alain Hennebelle

This paper uses Covasim, an agent-based model (ABM) of COVID-19, to evaluate and scenarios of epidemic spread in New York State (USA), the UK, and the Novosibirsk region (Russia). Epidemiological parameters such as contagiousness (virus…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Olga Krivorotko , Mariia Sosnovskaia , Ivan Vashchenko , Cliff Kerr , Daniel Lesnic

The U.S. Covid-19 data exhibit a high-frequency oscillation along a low-frequency wave for outbreaks. There is no model to account for it. A modified SIR model is proposed to explain this spiking phenomenon. It is also used to best-fit the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Bo Deng

The objective of this work is to predict the spread of COVID-19 starting from observed data, using a forecast method inspired by probabilistic weather prediction systems operational today. Results show that this method works well for China:…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-31 Roberto Buizza

Detecting COVID-19 in computed tomography (CT) or radiography images has been proposed as a supplement to the definitive RT-PCR test. We present a deep learning ensemble for detecting COVID-19 infection, combining slice-based (2D) and…

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models are trained to predict forecast errors for the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model using the New York State Mesonet and Oklahoma State Mesonet near-surface weather observations as ground truth.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 David Aaron Evans , Kara J. Sulia , Nick P. Bassill , Chris D. Thorncroft , Jay C. Rothenberger , Lauriana C. Gaudet

BACKGROUND An alternative to epidemiological models for transmission dynamics of Covid-19 in China, we propose the artificial intelligence (AI)-inspired methods for real-time forecasting of Covid-19 to estimate the size, lengths and ending…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-03 Zixin Hu , Qiyang Ge , Shudi Li , Li Jin , Momiao Xiong

We investigate ensembling techniques in forecasting and examine their potential for use in nonseasonal time-series similar to those in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Developing improved forecast methods is essential as they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Pieter Cawood , Terence L. van Zyl

The emergence of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has generated a need to quickly and accurately assemble up-to-date information related to its spread. While it is possible to use deaths to provide a reliable information feed, the latency…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-16 Conor Rosato , Robert E. Moore , Matthew Carter , John Heap , Jose Storopoli , Simon Maskell

This research is about COVID-19, which is a contagious virus that reached many countries, including Lebanon. Monitoring the outbreak, researchers have been involved in introducing COVID-19 targeting vaccines. Already facing financial and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-22 Sarkis Der Wartanian , Baydaa Al Ayoubi

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

Existing prognostic tools mainly focus on predicting the risk of mortality among patients with coronavirus disease 2019. However, clinical evidence suggests that COVID-19 can result in non-mortal complications that affect patient prognosis.…

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

Previous research has demonstrated that various properties of infectious diseases can be inferred from online search behaviour. In this work we use time series of online search query frequencies to gain insights about the prevalence of…

COVID-19 has become a matter of serious concern over the last few years. It has adversely affected numerous people around the globe and has led to the loss of billions of dollars of business capital. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Soumyanil Banerjee , Ming Dong , Weisong Shi

The severity of the coronavirus pandemic necessitates the need of effective administrative decisions. Over 4 lakh people in India succumbed to COVID-19, with over 3 crore confirmed cases, and still counting. The threat of a plausible third…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Mayank Sethi , Ambika Sadhu , Khushbu Pahwa , Sargun Nagpal , Tavpritesh Sethi

In this work, we study the pandemic course in the United States by considering national and state levels data. We propose and compare multiple time-series prediction techniques which incorporate auxiliary variables. One type of approach is…

SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

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