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We introduce a novel unsupervised learning method for time series data with latent dynamical structure: the recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM). The RP-GSSM is a probabilistic model that learns Markovian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Samo Hromadka , Kai Biegun , Lior Fox , James Heald , Maneesh Sahani

Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) proposals that achieve reasonable acceptance rates and mixing are notoriously difficult to design in most applications. Inspired by recent advances in deep neural network-based normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-28 Laurence Davies , Robert Salomone , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

Consider a continuous time particle system $\eta^t=(\eta^t(k),k\in \mathbb{L})$, indexed by a lattice $\mathbb{L}$ which will be either $\mathbb{Z}$, $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$, a segment $\{1,\cdots, n\}$, or $\mathbb{Z}^d$, and taking its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

We introduce an approach based on the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation to model heterogeneous stochastic circuits, namely, the circuits combining binary or multi-state stochastic memristive devices and continuum reactive components (capacitors…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2023-10-03 V. A. Slipko , Y. V. Pershin

We present a new Bayesian inference method for compartmental models that takes into account the intrinsic stochasticity of the process. We show how to formulate a SIR-type Markov jump process as the solution of a stochastic differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Benjamin Nguyen-Van-Yen , Pierre Del Moral , Bernard Cazelles

We consider deterministic Markov decision processes (MDPs) and apply max-plus algebra tools to approximate the value iteration algorithm by a smaller-dimensional iteration based on a representation on dictionaries of value functions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-21 Francis Bach

This paper deals with the problems of stochastic stability and sliding mode control for a class of continuous-time Markovian jump systems with mode-dependent time-varying delays and partly unknown transition probabilities. The design method…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Nasibeh Zohrabi , Hasan Zakeri , Amir Hossein Abolmasoumi , Hamid Reza Momeni

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

This work focuses on a class of regime-switching jump diffusion processes, which is a two component Markov processes $(X(t),\Lambda(t))$, where $\Lambda(t)$ is a component representing discrete events taking values in a countably infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Fubao Xi , George Yin , Chao Zhu

Although the Bayesian paradigm offers a formal framework for estimating the entire probability distribution over uncertain parameters, its online implementation can be challenging due to high computational costs. We suggest the Adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Pedram Agand , Mo Chen , Hamid D. Taghirad

Molecular Dynamics (MD) is a powerful computational microscope for probing protein functions. However, the need for fine-grained integration and the long timescales of biomolecular events make MD computationally expensive. To address this,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Kacper Kapuśniak , Cristian Gabellini , Michael Bronstein , Prudencio Tossou , Francesco Di Giovanni

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

Time series aggregation is a common approach to reduce the computational complexity of large-scale energy system optimization models. However, maintaining chronological continuity between the resulting representative periods (RPs) remains a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Felix C. A. Auer , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , Sonja Wogrin

We prove the metastable behavior of reversible Markov processes on finite state spaces under minimal conditions on the jump rates. To illustrate the result we deduce the metastable behavior of the Ising model with a small magnetic field at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Johel Beltran , Claudio Landim

Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

This paper concerns the Vertex Reinforced Jump Process (VRJP) and its representations as a Markov process in random environment. We show that all possible representations of the VRJP as a mixture of Markov processes can be expressed in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Thomas Gerard

We consider Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) with a finite set of discrete states. In the regime of fast jumps between discrete states, we prove a law of large number and a large deviation principle. In the regime of fast…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-16 A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli , M. Ribezzi Crivellari

In this paper, we study the stabilization of two interdependent Markov jump linear systems (MJLSs) with partial information, where the interdependency arises as the transition of the mode of one system depends on the states of the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-26 Guanze Peng , Juntao Chen , Quanyan Zhu

The dynamics of a non-Markovian open quantum system described by a general time-local master equation is studied. The propagation of the density operator is constructed in terms of two processes: (i) deterministic evolution and (ii)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-01-21 Kari Harkonen

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler