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Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region (AR) will originate solar flares above a certain class…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

We consider the flare prediction problem that distinguishes flare-imminent active regions that produce an M- or X-class flare in the future 24 hours, from quiet active regions that do not produce any flare within $\pm 24$ hours. Using…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-15 Zeyu Sun , Monica G. Bobra , Xiantong Wang , Yu Wang , Hu Sun , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

A solar active region can significantly disrupt the Sun Earth space environment, often leading to severe space weather events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections. As a consequence, the automatic classification of active region…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-24 Edoardo Legnaro , Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone

Space weather phenomena such as solar flares, have massive destructive power when reaches certain amount of magnitude. Such high magnitude solar flare event can interfere space-earth radio communications and neutralize space-earth…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-19 Vlad Landa , Yuval Reuveni

Magnetic fields emerging from the Sun's interior carry information about physical processes of magnetic field generation and transport in the convection zone. Soon after appearance on the solar surface the magnetic flux gets concentrated in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. G. Kosovichev

Improving the performance of solar flare forecasting is a hot topic in solar physics research field. Deep learning has been considered a promising approach to perform solar flare forecasting in recent years. We first used the Generative…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Zheng Deng , Feng Wang , Hui Deng , Lei Tan , Linhua Deng , Song Feng

The spatial extension of active regions (ARs) of the Sun can vary from one case to the next. This is a problem when studying solar flares with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) as they generally use input images of a fixed size.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-10 Philippe Vong , Laurent Dolla , Alexandros Koukras , Jacques Gustin , Jorge Amaya , Ekaterina Dineva , Giovanni Lapenta

A long-standing problem is to predict the future flare productivity of an active region (AR) when it is on the stage of early emergence. The aim of this study is to probe two parameters of the photospheric magnetic field, both derived…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 Alexander S. Kutsenko , Valentina I. Abramenko , Olga K. Kutsenko

Emerging active regions are associated with convective flows on the spatial scale and lifetimes of supergranules. To understand how these flows are involved in the formation of active regions, we aim to identify where active regions emerge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-17 Hannah Schunker , William Roland-Batty , Aaron C. Birch , Douglas C. Braun , Robert H. Cameron , L. Gizon

A convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to construct a new catalog for solar flares based on high resolution (1-s cadence) Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) soft X-ray data. The CNN is trained to identify flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-13 Nastaran Farhang , Michael. S. Wheatland , Andrew Melatos

Investigating the properties of magnetic flux emergence is one of the most important problems of solar physics. In this study we present a newly developed deep-focus time-distance measurement scheme which is able to detect strong emerging…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-03-13 Stathis Ilonidis , Junwei Zhao , Alexander G. Kosovichev

There is a recurring question in solar physics about whether or not electric currents are neutralized in active regions (ARs). This question was recently revisited using three-dimensional (3D) magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) numerical simulations…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 K. Dalmasse , G. Aulanier , P. Démoulin , B. Kliem , T. Török , E. Pariat

Although space weather events may not directly affect human life, they have the potential to inflict significant harm upon our communities. Harmful space weather events can trigger atmospheric changes that result in physical and economic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 Shlesh Sakpal

With machine learning entering into the awareness of the heliophysics community, solar flare prediction has become a topic of increased interest. Although machine learning models have advanced with each successive publication, the input…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Brandon Panos , Lucia Kleint

Bipolar emerging flux regions (EFRs) form active regions (ARs) that generally evolve in a pre-existing magnetic environment in the solar atmosphere. Reconfiguration of the small- and large-scale magnetic connectivities is invoked to explain…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-07 Mariarita Murabito , Ilaria Ermolli , Salvo L. Guglielmino , Paolo Romano , Fabrizio Giorgi

Solar active regions (ARs) are thought to be formed by magnetic fields from the convection zone. Our flux emergence simulations revealed that a strong horizontal divergent flow (HDF) of unmagnetized plasma appears at the photosphere before…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Shin Toriumi , Keiji Hayashi , Takaaki Yokoyama

We present two recurrent neural networks (RNNs), one based on gated recurrent units and the other based on long short-term memory, for predicting whether an active region (AR) that produces an M- or X-class flare will also produce a coronal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-26 Hao Liu , Chang Liu , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Magnetic flux emergence from the solar interior to the atmosphere is believed to be a key process of formation of solar active regions and driving solar eruptions. Due to the limited capability of observation, the flux emergence process is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-04 Zhipeng Liu , Chaowei Jiang , Xueshang Feng , Pingbing Zuo , Yi Wang

In this paper, we introduce a novel methodology for leveraging shape-based characteristics of magnetograms of active region (AR) patches and provide a novel capability for predicting solar flares covering the entirety of the solar disk (AR…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Temitope Adeyeha , Jinsu Hong , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin