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Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

We establish deviation inequalities for the maxima of partial sums of a martingale differences sequence, and of a strictly stationary orthomartingale random field. These inequalities can be used to establish complete convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Davide Giraudo

We prove deviation inequalities for sums of high-dimensional random matrices and operators with dependence and {\rc heavy tails}. Estimation of high-dimensional matrices is a concern for numerous modern applications. However, most results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Shogo Nakakita , Pierre Alquier , Masaaki Imaizumi

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

In this paper we improve some existing results concerning the approximation of the distribution of extremes of a 1-dependent and stationary sequence of random variables. We enlarge the range of applicability and improve the approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Alexandru Amarioarei

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We study a precise large deviation principle for a stationary regularly varying sequence of random variables. This principle extends the classical results of A.V. Nagaev (1969) and S.V. Nagaev (1979) for iid regularly varying sequences. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We derive in this short report the exact exponential decreasing tail of distribution for naturel normed sums of independent centered random variables (r.v.), applying the theory of Grand Lebesgue Spaces (GLS). We consider also some…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

For a sample of absolutely bounded i.i.d. random variables with a continuous density the cumulative distribution function of the sample variance is represented by a univariate integral over a Fourier series. If the density is a polynomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-10 T. Royen

We consider asymptotic distributions of maximum deviations of sample covariance matrices, a fundamental problem in high-dimensional inference of covariances. Under mild dependence conditions on the entries of the data matrices, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-05 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we give precise rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences of bounded real-valued random variables satisfying weak dependence conditions. One of the main ingredients is a new Fuk-Nagaev…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 J Dedecker , F Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We consider the limit distribution of maxima of periodograms for stationary processes. Our method is based on $m$-dependent approximation for stationary processes and a moderate deviation result.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-11 Zhengyan Lin , Weidong Liu

We study the joint limit behavior of sums, maxima and $\ell^p$-type moduli for samples taken from an $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued regularly varying stationary sequence with infinite variance. As a consequence, we can determine the distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $\xi$ is regularly varying with index $\nu+1$ and the immigration $\eta$ is regularly varying with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh , Matt P. Wand

This study aims to develop the limit theorems on the sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations for certain stationary infinitely divisible processes. We consider the case where the infinitely divisible process has heavy tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Takashi Owada

We give abstract versions of the large deviation theorem for the distribution of zeros of polynomials and apply them to the characteristic polynomials of Hermitian random matrices. We obtain new estimates related to the local semi-circular…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Tien-Cuong Dinh

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel