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In the context of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, several reports and studies have attempted to model and predict the spread of the disease. There is also intense debate about policies for limiting the damage, both to health and to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-04 Harshad Khadilkar , Tanuja Ganu , Deva P Seetharam

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe

Background: To assist policy makers in taking adequate decisions to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, accurate forecasting of the disease propagation is of paramount importance. Materials and Methods: This paper presents a deep learning…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Ahmed Ben Said , Abdelkarim Erradi , Hussein Aly , Abdelmonem Mohamed

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic has led many countries to impose unprecedented lockdown measures in order to slow down the outbreak. Questions on whether governments have acted promptly enough, and whether lockdown…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-04 Zhaozhi Qian , Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this paper we study neural networks and their approximating power in panel data models. We provide asymptotic guarantees on deep feed-forward neural network estimation of the conditional mean, building on the work of Farrell et al.…

We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various public policies to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Nikos Askitas , Konstantinos Tatsiramos , Bertrand Verheyden

The special epistemic characteristics of the COVID-19, such as the long incubation period and the infection through asymptomatic cases, put severe challenge to the containment of its outbreak. By the end of March 2020, China has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-07 Xiaoqi Zhang , Zheng Ji , Yanqiao Zheng , Xinyue Ye , Dong Li

While many efforts are currently devoted to vaccines development and administration, social distancing measures, including severe restrictions such as lockdowns, remain fundamental tools to contain the spread of COVID-19. A crucial point…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

We present a new mathematical model to explicitly capture the effects that the three restriction measures: the lockdown date and duration, social distancing and masks, and, schools and border closing, have in controlling the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-25 Liam Dowling Jones , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Laura Mersini-Houghton , Steven Meshnick

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

To curb the spread of COVID-19, many governments around the world have implemented tiered lockdowns with varying degrees of stringency. Lockdown levels are typically increased when the disease spreads and reduced when the disease abates. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Laurentz E. Olivier , Stefan Botha , Ian K. Craig

In this paper, we propose a deep learning model to forecast the range of increase in COVID-19 infected cases in future days and we present a novel method to compute equidimensional representations of multivariate time series and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ankit Ramchandani , Chao Fan , Ali Mostafavi

The electricity industry is heavily implementing smart grid technologies to improve reliability, availability, security, and efficiency. This implementation needs technological advancements, the development of standards and regulations, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna , Priscila Grecov , Angela Dieyu Weng , Christoph Bergmeir

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

We explore the causal relationship between COVID-19 lockdown policies and changes in personal computer usage. In particular, we examine how lockdown policies affected average daily computer usage, as well as how it affected usage patterns…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Mingjia Zhu , Lechuan Wang , Julien Sebot , Bijan Arbab , Babak Salimi , Alexander Cloninger

Given the severe impact of COVID-19 on several societal levels, it is of crucial importance to model the impact of restriction measures on the pandemic evolution, so that governments are able to take informed decisions. Even though there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Greta Malaspina , Stevo Racković , Filipa Valdeira

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay
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