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In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Padmaksha Roy , Shailik Sarkar , Subhodip Biswas , Fanglan Chen , Zhiqian Chen , Naren Ramakrishnan , Chang-Tien Lu

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

In the graph exploration problem, a team of mobile computational entities, called agents, arbitrarily positioned at some nodes of a graph, must cooperate so that each node is eventually visited by at least one agent. In the literature, the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-05-21 Giuseppe Antonio Di Luna , Stefan Dobrev , Paola Flocchini , Nicola Santoro

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

Dynamic graphs have emerged as an appropriate model to capture the changing nature of many modern networks, such as peer-to-peer overlays and mobile ad hoc networks. Most of the recent research on dynamic networks has only addressed the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2011-02-02 Oksana Denysyuk , Luis Rodrigues

Testing is recommended for all close contacts of confirmed COVID-19 patients. However, existing group testing methods are oblivious to the circumstances of contagion provided by contact tracing. Here, we build upon a well-known…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-01 Stratis Tsirtsis , Abir De , Lars Lorch , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Current approaches for modeling propagation in networks (e.g., spread of disease) are unable to adequately capture temporal properties of the data such as order and duration of evolving connections or dynamic likelihoods of propagation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Aparajita Haldar , Shuang Wang , Gunduz Demirci , Joe Oakley , Hakan Ferhatosmanoglu

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Accurate and explainable health event predictions are becoming crucial for healthcare providers to develop care plans for patients. The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has enabled machine learning advances in providing these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Prithwish Chakraborty , Samantha Kleinberg , Yue Ning

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

After the blockade that many nations suffered to stop the growth of the incidence curve of COVID-19 during the first half of 2020, they face the challenge of resuming their social and economic activity. The rapid airborne transmissibility…

We are currently living in a state of uncertainty due to the pandemic caused by the Sars-CoV-2 virus. There are several factors involved in the epidemic spreading such as the individual characteristics of each city/country. The true shape…

The outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic affecting over 200 countries and regions. Inference about the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 can provide important insights into the speed of disease spread and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Tianjian Zhou , Yuan Ji

The influence maximization (IM) problem involves identifying a set of key individuals in a social network who can maximize the spread of influence through their network connections. With the advent of geometric deep learning on graphs,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Yunming Hui , Shihan Wang , Melisachew Wudage Chekol , Stevan Rudinac , Inez Maria Zwetsloot

Graph models are widely used to analyse diffusion processes embedded in social contacts and to develop applications. A range of graph models are available to replicate the underlying social structures and dynamics realistically. However,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Frank de Hoog

Understanding dynamics of an outbreak like that of COVID-19 is important in designing effective control measures. This study aims to develop an agent based model that compares changes in infection progression by manipulating different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Anik Burman , Sayak Chatterjee , Pramit Ghosh , Indranil Mukhokadhyay

Large-scale crises, including wars and pandemics, have repeatedly shaped human history, and their simultaneous occurrence presents profound challenges to societies. Understanding the dynamics of epidemic spread during warfare is essential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-23 Adi Shuchami , Teddy Lazebnik