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A learned generative model often produces biased statistics relative to the underlying data distribution. A standard technique to correct this bias is importance sampling, where samples from the model are weighted by the likelihood ratio…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Aditya Grover , Jiaming Song , Alekh Agarwal , Kenneth Tran , Ashish Kapoor , Eric Horvitz , Stefano Ermon

Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Matthew Drnevich , Stephen Jiggins , Kyle Cranmer

In this paper, we analyze the monotonicity of information aging in a remote estimation system, where historical observations of a Gaussian autoregressive AR(p) process are used to predict its future values. We consider two widely used loss…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-07 MD Kamran Chowdhury Shisher , Yin Sun

In this paper we study the dynamics and ergodic theory of certain economic models which are implicitly defined. We consider 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional overlapping generations models, a cash-in-advance model, heterogeneous markets and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Eugen Mihailescu

We introduce and study the cumulative information generating function, which provides a unifying mathematical tool suitable to deal with classical and fractional entropies based on the cumulative distribution function and on the survival…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Marco Capaldo , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Alessandra Meoli

Rate change calculations in the literature involve deterministic methods that measure the change in premium for a given policy. The definition of rate change as a statistical parameter is proposed to address the stochastic nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell

We introduce the resilience rate as a measure of financial resilience. It captures the expected rate at which a dynamic risk measure recovers, i.e., bounces back, when the risk-acceptance set is breached. We develop the corresponding…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-26 Roger J. A. Laeven , Matteo Ferrari , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin , Marco Zullino

The distribution of the sum of r-th power of standard normal random variables is a generalization of the chi-squared distribution. In this paper, we represent the probability density function of the random variable by an one-dimensional…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Tamio Koyama

Randomness is one of the important key concepts of statistics. In epidemiology or medical science, we investigate our hypotheses and interpret results through this statistical randomness. We hypothesized by imposing some conditions to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 T. Usuzaki , M. Shimoyama S. Chiba , S. Hotta

Inverse optimization describes a process that is the "reverse" of traditional mathematical optimization. Unlike traditional optimization, which seeks to compute optimal decisions given an objective and constraints, inverse optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Rafid Mahmood , Ian Yihang Zhu

We consider properties of the measurement intensity $\rho$ of a random variable for which the probability density function represented by the corresponding Wigner function attains negative values on a part of the domain. We consider a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-26 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski , Jan Sładkowski , Jacek Syska

In this paper, we first provide a review of different non-parametric estimators for the cumulative distribution function under left-censoring. We then propose a new estimator based on a non-parametric likelihood approach using reversed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-11 N. Balakrishnan , Christian Paroissin , Magdalena Pereda Vivo

A general approach for the calculation of the incoherent intensity scattered by a random medium with rough boundaries has been developed using a Green function formalism. The random medium consists of spherical particles whose physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Soubret , G. Berginc

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

We consider a small set of axioms for income averaging -- recursivity, continuity, and the boundary condition for the present. These properties yield a unique averaging function that is the density of the reflected Brownian motion with a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-04-15 Stefan Steinerberger , Aleh Tsyvinski

In presence of nuisance parameters, profile likelihood inference is often unreliable and biased, particularly in small sample scenario. Over past decades several adjustments have been proposed to modify profile likelihood function in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-29 Md. Mazharul Islam , Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan

The beta normal distribution is a generalization of both the normal distribution and the normal order statistics. Some of its mathematical properties and a few applications have been studied in the literature. We provide a better foundation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-03 L. C. Rêgo , R. J. Cintra , G. M. Cordeiro

An important issue in survival analysis is the investigation and the modeling of hazard rates. Within a Bayesian nonparametric framework, a natural and popular approach is to model hazard rates as kernel mixtures with respect to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Giovanni Peccati , Igor Prünster