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We introduce a new type of random walk where the definition of edge reinforcement is very different from the one in the reinforced random walk models studied so far, and investigate its basic properties, such as null/positive recurrence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Janos Englander , Stanislav Volkov

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

We study a stochastic model based on a modified fragmentation of a finite interval. The mechanism consists in cutting the interval at a random location and substituting a unique fragment on the right of the cut to regenerate and preserve…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Jean-Yves Fortin

Density ratio estimation serves as an important technique in the unsupervised machine learning toolbox. However, such ratios are difficult to estimate for complex, high-dimensional data, particularly when the densities of interest are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Kristy Choi , Madeline Liao , Stefano Ermon

In this work we examine the properties of a recently described ordinary differential equation that relates the age-specific prevalence of a chronic disease with the incidence and mortalities of the diseased and healthy persons. The equation…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-28 Ralph Brinks

In this article, a generalized inverse xgamma distribution (GIXGD) has been introduced as the generalized version of the inverse xgamma distribution. The proposed model exhibits the pattern of non-monotone hazard rate and belongs to family…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-13 Harsh Tripathi , Abhimanyu Singh Yadav , Mahendra Saha , Sumit Kumar

Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter; then the exact probability density function of the ratio $X/Y$ is derived. Some basic distributional properties are also derived, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Siqi Li

To improve nonparametric estimates of lifetime distributions, we propose using the increasing odds rate (IOR) model as an alternative to other popular, but more restrictive, ``adverse ageing'' models, such as the increasing hazard rate one.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

The failure rate function plays an important role in studying the lifetime distributions in reliability theory and life testing models. A study of the general failure rate model $r(t)=a+bt^{\theta-1}$, under squared error loss function…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-23 Asok K. Nanda , Sudhansu S. Maiti , Chanchal Kundu , Amarjit Kundu

In inverse problems, one attempts to infer spatially variable functions from indirect measurements of a system. To practitioners of inverse problems, the concept of "information" is familiar when discussing key questions such as which parts…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Wolfgang Bangerth , Chris R. Johnson , Dennis K. Njeru , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Krzysztof Piasecki

The gamma difference distribution is defined as the difference of two gamma distributions, with in general different shape and rate parameters. Starting with knowledge of the corresponding characteristic function, a second order linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Peter J. Forrester

We show that the functional renormalization group (FRG) allows for the calculation of the probability distribution function of the sum of strongly correlated random variables. On the example of the three-dimensional Ising model at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-11 I. Balog , A. Rançon , B. Delamotte

Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments is a common problem in practice, for example, in studying average dose-response functions. Classical analyses typically assume that all confounders are fully observed, whereas in real-world…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

Time Series Forecasting has been an active area of research due to its many applications ranging from network usage prediction, resource allocation, anomaly detection, and predictive maintenance. Numerous publications published in the last…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Aryan Jadon , Avinash Patil , Shruti Jadon

We propose a function-valued evaluation metric for generative models based on the relative density ratio (RDR) designed to characterize distributional differences between real and generated samples. As an evaluation metric, the RDR function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Yuliang Xu , Yun Wei , Li Ma

Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Possible parameter values in a random sampling model are shown by definition to have uniform base-rate prior probabilities. This allows a frequentist posterior probability distribution to be calculated for such possible parameter values…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-02-14 Huw Llewelyn

Algorithms in machine learning and AI do critically depend on at least three key components: (i) the risk function, which is the expectation of the loss function, (ii) the function space, which is often called the hypothesis space, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Lena Helgerth , Andreas Christmann