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Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

We propose a method to measure real-valued time series irreversibility which combines two differ- ent tools: the horizontal visibility algorithm and the Kullback-Leibler divergence. This method maps a time series to a directed network…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Lucas Lacasa , Ángel M. Núñez , Édgar Roldán , Juan M. R. Parrondo , Bartolo Luque

Data-driven modeling and machine learning are widely used to model the behavior of dynamic systems. One application is the residual evaluation of technical systems where model predictions are compared with measurement data to create…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Arman Mohammadi , Theodor Westny , Daniel Jung , Mattias Krysander

Modern machine learning approaches excel in static settings where a large amount of i.i.d. training data are available for a given task. In a dynamic environment, though, an intelligent agent needs to be able to transfer knowledge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Jonas Wildberger , Siyuan Guo , Arnab Bhattacharyya , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper proposes a new framework and several results to quantify the performance of data-driven state-feedback controllers for linear systems against targeted perturbations of the training data. We focus on the case where subsets of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-24 Rajasekhar Anguluri , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Vaibhav Katewa , Fabio Pasqualetti

Primary importance is devoted to Fault Detection and Diagnosis (FDI) of electrical machine and drive systems in modern industrial automation. The widespread use of Machine Learning techniques has made it possible to replace traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Adrienn Dineva , Amir Mosavi , Mate Gyimesi , Istvan Vajda

As systems are getting more autonomous with the development of artificial intelligence, it is important to discover the causal knowledge from observational sensory inputs. By encoding a series of cause-effect relations between events,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Yuhao Wang , Vlado Menkovski , Hao Wang , Xin Du , Mykola Pechenizkiy

This paper presents a new data-driven fault identification and controller reconfiguration algorithm. The presented algorithm relies only on the system's input and output data, and it does not require a detailed system description. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Hasan Zakeri , Panos J. Antsaklis

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

Reliable detection of bearing faults is essential for maintaining the safety and operational efficiency of rotating machinery. While recent advances in machine learning (ML), particularly deep learning, have shown strong performance in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 João Paulo Vieira , Victor Afonso Bauler , Rodrigo Kobashikawa Rosa , Danilo Silva

Complex systems often exhibit unexpected faults that are difficult to handle. Such systems are desirable to be diagnosable, i.e. faults can be automatically detected as they occur (or shortly afterwards), enabling the system to handle the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-02-27 Hernán Ponce de León , Gonzalo Bonigo , Laura Brandán Briones

The design of data-driven formulations for machine learning and decision-making with good out-of-sample performance is a key challenge. The observation that good in-sample performance does not guarantee good out-of-sample performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Amine Bennouna , Bart Van Parys , Ryan Lucas

Fault detection in rotating machinery is a complex task, particularly in small and heterogeneous dataset scenarios. Variability in sensor placement, machinery configurations, and structural differences further increase the complexity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Praveen Chopra , Himanshu Kumar , Sandeep Yadav

Transfer learning, or domain adaptation, is concerned with machine learning problems in which training and testing data come from possibly different probability distributions. In this work, we give an information-theoretic analysis of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

Data imputation, the process of filling in missing feature elements for incomplete data sets, plays a crucial role in data-driven learning. A fundamental belief is that data imputation is helpful for learning performance, and it follows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ruikai Yang , Fan He , Mingzhen He , Kaijie Wang , Xiaolin Huang

Reliable mechanical fault detection with limited data is crucial for the effective operation of induction machines, particularly given the real-world challenges present in industrial datasets, such as significant imbalances between healthy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-04 Ali Pourghoraba , MohammadSadegh KhajueeZadeh , Ali Amini , Abolfazl Vahedi , Gholam Reza Agah , Akbar Rahideh

The problem considered in this paper is the online diagnosis of Automated Production Systems with sensors and actuators delivering discrete binary signals that can be modeled as Discrete Event Systems. Even though there are numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 R Saddem , D Baptiste

The two most commonly used criteria for assessing causal model discovery with artificial data are edit-distance and Kullback-Leibler divergence, measured from the true model to the learned model. Both of these metrics maximally reward the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Rodney T. O'Donnell , Kevin B. Korb , Lloyd Allison

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Intensive testing using model-based approaches is the standard way of demonstrating the correctness of automotive software. Unfortunately, state-of-the-art techniques leave a crucial and labor intensive task to the test engineer:…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Mike Becker , Roland Meyer , Tobias Runge , Ina Schaefer , Sören van der Wall , Sebastian Wolff
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