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We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

In applied settings, tests of hypothesis where a nuisance parameter is only identifiable under the alternative often reduces into one of Testing One Hypothesis Multiple times (TOHM). Specifically, a fine discretization of the space of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris

The analysis of excursion sets in imaging data is essential to a wide range of scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology and cosmology. Despite growing literature, there is little published concerning the comparison of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Thomas Maullin-Sapey , Armin Schwartzman , Thomas E. Nichols

We present a new first-principle theory for the calculation of the macroscopic second-order susceptibility chi^(2), based on the Time-Dependent Density-Functional Theory approach. Our method allows to include straightforwardly the many-body…

Materials Science · Physics 2010-01-15 Eleonora Luppi , Hannes Hübener , Valérie Véniard

Clustering is part of unsupervised analysis methods that consist in grouping samples into homogeneous and separate subgroups of observations also called clusters. To interpret the clusters, statistical hypothesis testing is often used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Benjamin Hivert , Denis Agniel , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Boris P Hejblum

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

Motivated by modern observational studies, we introduce a class of functional models that expands nested and crossed designs. These models account for the natural inheritance of correlation structure from sampling design in studies where…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-26 Haochang Shou , Vadim Zipunnikov , Ciprian M. Crainiceanu , Sonja Greven

A random walk problem with particles on discrete double infinite linear grids is discussed. The model is based on the work of Montroll and others. A probability connected with the problem is given in the form of integrals containing…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. B. Sanders , N. M. Temme

The structure tensor method is often used for 2D and 3D analysis of imaged structures, but its results are in many cases very dependent on the user's choice of method parameters. We simplify this parameter choice in first order structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Pawel Tomasz Pieta , Anders Bjorholm Dahl , Jeppe Revall Frisvad , Siavash Arjomand Bigdeli , Anders Nymark Christensen

We introduce a novel characterization of phase transitions based on hypothesis testing. In our formulation, a phase transition is defined as the breakdown of statistical indistinguishability under vanishing parameter perturbations in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-20 Taiyo Narita , Hideyuki Miyahara

Mixture transition distribution time series models build high-order dependence through a weighted combination of first-order transition densities for each one of a specified number of lags. We present a framework to construct stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Modelling the extremal dependence structure of spatial data is considerably easier if that structure is stationary. However, for data observed over large or complicated domains, non-stationarity will often prevail. Current methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jordan Richards , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

A new type of dependent thinning for point processes in continuous space is proposed, which leverages the advantages of determinantal point processes defined on finite spaces and, as such, is particularly amenable to statistical, numerical,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , Paul Keeler

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

Percolation plays an important role in fields and phenomena as diverse as the study of social networks, the dynamics of epidemics, the robustness of electricity grids, conduction in disordered media, and geometric properties in statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-10 Mykola Maksymenko , Roderich Moessner , Kirill Shtengel

Spatio-temporal disease mapping models are commonly used to estimate the relative risk of a disease over time and across areas. For each area and time point, the disease count is modelled with a Poisson distribution whose mean is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Victoire Michal , Alexandra M. Schmidt