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We consider the problem of computing first-passage time distributions for reaction processes modelled by master equations. We show that this generally intractable class of problems is equivalent to a sequential Bayesian inference problem…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-11-29 David Schnoerr , Botond Cseke , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

We consider models for spatiotemporal Poisson processes with some missing location data. We discuss four models that make provision for missing location data, and their estimation. The corresponding code is available on GitHub as an…

This paper introduces an approach for detecting differences in the first-order structures of spatial point patterns. The proposed approach leverages the kernel mean embedding in a novel way by introducing its approximate version tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Raif M. Rustamov , James T. Klosowski

We develop a cross-sectional research design to identify causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity without instruments. When units are dense in physical space, it may be sufficient to regress the "spatial first…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Hannah Druckenmiller , Solomon Hsiang

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

For a general class of atomistic-to-continuum coupling methods, coupling multi-body interatomic potentials with a P1-finite element discretisation of Cauchy--Born nonlinear elasticity, this paper adresses the question whether patch test…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Christoph Ortner

Evaluating spatial patterns in data is an integral task across various domains, including geostatistics, astronomy, and spatial tissue biology. The analysis of transcriptomics data in particular relies on methods for detecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Katharina Limbeck , Bastian Rieck

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

First-passage properties are central to the kinetics of target-search processes. Theoretical approaches so far primarily focused on predicting first-passage statistics for a given process or model. In practice, however, one faces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-08 Rick Bebon , Aljaz Godec

We present a systematic study of the nested sampling algorithm based on the example of the Potts model. This model, which exhibits a first order phase transition for $q>4$, exemplifies a generic numerical challenge in statistical physics:…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-12-12 Manuel J. Pfeifenberger , Michael Rumetshofer , Wolfgang von der Linden

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

We indicate a way of distinguishing between structures, for which, two structures are said to be separable.Being separable implies being non-isomorphic. We show that for any first order theory $T$ in a countable language, if it has an…

Logic · Mathematics 2012-11-28 Mohammad Assem

Consider the model where nodes are initially distributed as a Poisson point process with intensity $\lambda$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ and are moving in continuous time according to independent Brownian motions. We assume that nodes are capable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Alexandre Stauffer

Consider the model where particles are initially distributed on $\mathbb{Z}^d, \, d\geq 2$, according to a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda>0$, and are moving in continuous time as independent simple symmetric random walks. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Vladas Sidoravicius , Alexandre Stauffer

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing in the situation when the first hypothesis is simple and the second one is local one-sided composite. We describe the choice of the thresholds and the power functions of the Score Function test,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-26 Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants , Lin Yang

In scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology, and cosmology it is useful to study the uncertainty of excursion sets of imaging data. While the case of imaging data obtained from a single study condition has already been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Thomas J. Maullin-Sapey , Fabian J. E. Telschow

The large body of experimental data on nuclear fission is analyzed with a semi-empirical ordering scheme based on the macro-microscopic approach and the separability of compound-nucleus and fragment properties on the fission path. We apply…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2008-11-26 Karl-Heinz Schmidt , Aleksandra Kelic , Maria Valentina Ricciardi

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

We propose a general theory for surface patterning in many different biological systems, including mite and insect cuticles, pollen grains, fungal spores, and insect eggs. The patterns of interest are often intricate and diverse, yet an…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-06-01 Maxim O. Lavrentovich , Eric M. Horsley , Asja Radja , Alison M. Sweeney , Randall D. Kamien

The classical decision problem, as it is understood today, is the quest for a delineation between the decidable and the undecidable parts of first-order logic based on elegant syntactic criteria. In this paper, we treat the concept of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Marco Voigt