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Epidemic models play a key role in understanding and responding to the emerging COVID-19 pandemic. Widely used compartmental models are static and are of limited use to evaluate intervention strategies with the emerging pandemic. Applying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Shuo Wang , Xian Yang , Ling Li , Philip Nadler , Rossella Arcucci , Yuan Huang , Zhongzhao Teng , Yike Guo

In December 2019, the first patients in Wuhan, China were diagnosed with a primary atypical pneumonia, which showed to be unknown and contagious. Since then, known as COVID-19 disease, the responsible viral pathogen, SARS-CoV-2, has spread…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-30 Philipp Heider

The potential tradeoff between health outcomes and economic impact has been a major challenge in the policy making process during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemic-economic models designed to address this issue are either too aggregate to…

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has thrown the importance of accurately forecasting contagion dynamics and learning infection parameters into sharp focus. At the same time, effective policy-making requires knowledge of the uncertainty on such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Thomas Gaskin , Tim Conrad , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Christof Schütte

Since the first coronavirus case was identified in the U.S. on Jan. 21, more than 1 million people in the U.S. have confirmed cases of COVID-19. This infectious respiratory disease has spread rapidly across more than 3000 counties and 50…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Shuang Li , Lu Wang , Xinyun Chen , Yixiang Fang , Yan Song

Epidemics of infectious diseases are an important threat to public health and global economies. Yet, the development of prevention strategies remains a challenging process, as epidemics are non-linear and complex processes. For this reason,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Pieter Libin , Arno Moonens , Timothy Verstraeten , Fabian Perez-Sanjines , Niel Hens , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé

Since infectious pathogens start spreading into a susceptible population, mathematical models can provide policy makers with reliable forecasts and scenario analyses, which can be concretely implemented or solely consulted. In these complex…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Giovanni Ziarelli , Nicola Parolini , Marco Verani

The outbreak of COVID-19 caused millions of deaths worldwide, and the number of total infections is still rising. It is necessary to identify some potentially effective drugs that can be used to prevent the development of severe symptoms or…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Fan Hu , Jiaxin Jiang , Peng Yin

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), which emerged in 2019, has caused millions of deaths worldwide. Although effective vaccines have been developed to mitigate severe symptoms, certain populations, particularly the elderly and those with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Shengjun Zhu , Siyu Liu , Yang Li , Qing Lei , Hongyan Hou , Hewei Jiang , Shujuan Guo , Feng Wang , Rongshang Chen , Xionglin Fan , Shengce Tao , Jiaxin Cai

This study develops a generalised multi-objective, multi-echelon supply chain optimisation model with non-stationary markets based on a Markov decision process, incorporating economic, environmental, and social considerations. The model is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Rifny Rachman , Josh Tingey , Richard Allmendinger , Pradyumn Shukla , Wei Pan

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

The Novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a fatal infectious disease, first recognized in December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China, and has gone on an epidemic situation. Under these circumstances, it became more important to detect…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Pramit Dutta , Tanny Roy , Nafisa Anjum

The great challenge for the humanity of the year 2020 is the fight against COVID-19. The whole world is making a huge effort to find an effective vaccine with purpose to protect people not yet infected. The alternative solution remains…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-03 Mario Manzo , Simone Pellino

The rapid spread of the Coronavirus SARS-2 is a major challenge that led almost all governments worldwide to take drastic measures to respond to the tragedy. Chief among those measures is the massive lockdown of entire countries and cities,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Salah Ghamizi , Renaud Rwemalika , Lisa Veiber , Maxime Cordy , Tegawende F. Bissyande , Mike Papadakis , Jacques Klein , Yves Le Traon

Recently, the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly across the world. Due to the large number of affected patients and heavy labor for doctors, computer-aided diagnosis with machine learning algorithm is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-13 Hengyuan Kang , Liming Xia , Fuhua Yan , Zhibin Wan , Feng Shi , Huan Yuan , Huiting Jiang , Dijia Wu , He Sui , Changqing Zhang , Dinggang Shen

Providing accurate and reliable predictions about the future of an epidemic is an important problem for enabling informed public health decisions. Recent works have shown that leveraging data-driven solutions that utilize advances in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

We formulate an optimal control problem to determine the lockdown policy to curb an epidemic where other control measures are not available yet. We present a unified framework to model the epidemic and economy that allows us to study the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-20 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

Real-world decision-making tasks are generally complex, requiring trade-offs between multiple, often conflicting, objectives. Despite this, the majority of research in reinforcement learning and decision-theoretic planning either assumes…

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti
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