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Long-term outcomes are often unavailable in randomized clinical trials, although short-term surrogate outcomes are commonly observed. External observational data may contain the long-term outcome, but causal comparisons based on such data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Ziyang Liu , Niwen Zhou , Peng Wu , Xu Guo

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

Knowledge-based Visual Question Answering (KVQA) requires external knowledge beyond the visible content to answer questions about an image. This ability is challenging but indispensable to achieve general VQA. One limitation of existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Jing Yu , Zihao Zhu , Yujing Wang , Weifeng Zhang , Yue Hu , Jianlong Tan

This paper introduces a novel two-stage machine learning-based surrogate modeling framework to address inverse problems in scientific and engineering fields. In the first stage of the proposed framework, a machine learning model termed the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Evan J. Pineda , Brett A. Bednarcyk , Scott E. Stapleton

Variables in many massive high-dimensional data sets are structured, arising for example from measurements on a regular grid as in imaging and time series or from spatial-temporal measurements as in climate studies. Classical multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-14 Genevera I. Allen , Logan Grosenick , Jonathan Taylor

Chemical plant design and optimisation have proven challenging due to the complexity of these real-world systems. The resulting complexity translates into high computational costs for these systems' mathematical formulations and simulation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Liezl Stander , Matthew Woolway , Terence L. Van Zyl

Diverse domains of science and engineering use parameterised mechanistic models. Engineers and scientists can often hypothesise several rival models to explain a specific process or phenomenon. Consider a model discrimination setting where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Simon Olofsson , Eduardo S. Schultz , Adel Mhamdi , Alexander Mitsos , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ruth Misener

We propose a new framework for reasoning about information in complex systems. Our foundation is based on a variational extension of Shannon's information theory that takes into account the modeling power and computational constraints of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Yilun Xu , Shengjia Zhao , Jiaming Song , Russell Stewart , Stefano Ermon

Reactive transport in porous media plays a pivotal role in subsurface reservoir processes, influencing fluid properties and geochemical characteristics. However, coupling fluid flow and transport with geochemical reactions is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Vinicius L S Silva , Geraldine Regnier , Pablo Salinas , Claire E Heaney , Matthew D Jackson , Christopher C Pain

High-fidelity numerical simulations of chaotic, high dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems are computationally expensive, necessitating the development of efficient surrogate models. Most surrogate models for such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Hojin Kim , Romit Maulik

Emulating high-accuracy computationally expensive models is crucial for tasks requiring numerous model evaluations, such as uncertainty quantification and optimization. When lower-fidelity models are available, they can be used to improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Katerina Giannoukou , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

We introduce the Mutual Information Machine (MIM), a novel formulation of representation learning, using a joint distribution over the observations and latent state in an encoder/decoder framework. Our key principles are symmetry and mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Micha Livne , Kevin Swersky , David J. Fleet

Complex systems can undergo critical transitions, where slowly changing environmental conditions trigger a sudden shift to a new, potentially catastrophic state. Early warning signals for these events are crucial for decision-making in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-10-15 Zhiqin Ma , Chunhua Zeng , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Thomas M. Bury

Gene expression depends on thousands of factors and we usually only have access to tens or hundreds of observations of gene expression levels meaning we are in a high-dimensional setting. Additionally we don't always observe or care about…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Emiliano Diaz

In complex large-scale systems such as climate, important effects are caused by a combination of confounding processes that are not fully observable. The identification of sources from observations of system state is vital for attribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Joseph Hart , Mamikon Gulian , Indu Manickam , Laura Swiler

The modeling of high-dimensional spatio-temporal processes presents a fundamental dichotomy between the probabilistic rigor of classical geostatistics and the flexible, high-capacity representations of deep learning. While Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Yuri Calleo

Estimating mutual information (MI) from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics, machine learning, and data analysis. Recently it was shown that a popular class of non-parametric MI estimators perform very poorly for strongly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Shuyang Gao , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

Information theoretic measures (entropies, entropy rates, mutual information) are nowadays commonly used in statistical signal processing for real-world data analysis. The present work proposes the use of Auto Mutual Information (Mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 C Granero-Belinchón , S. Roux , P. Abry , N. Garnier

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen
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