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Related papers: Particle Filtering Under General Regime Switching

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The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

The problem of robust nonlinear energy-to-peak filtering for nonlinear descriptor systems with model uncertainties is addressed. The system is assumed to have nonlinearities both in the state and output equations as well as norm-bounded…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-02-26 Masoud Abbaszadeh

We design a sequential Monte Carlo scheme for the dual purpose of Bayesian inference and model selection. We consider the application context of urban mobility, where several modalities of transport and different measurement devices can be…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-29 Luca Martino , Jesse Read , Victor Elvira , Francisco Louzada

This paper introduces the {\it particle swarm filter} (not to be confused with particle swarm optimization): a recursive and embarrassingly parallel algorithm that targets an approximation to the sequence of posterior predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Taylor R. Brown

We consider Markov decision processes under parameter uncertainty. Previous studies all restrict to the case that uncertainties among different states are uncoupled, which leads to conservative solutions. In contrast, we introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Shie Mannor , Ofir Mebel , Huan Xu

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Parametric filters, such as the Extended Kalman Filter and the Unscented Kalman Filter, typically scale well with the dimensionality of the problem, but they are known to fail if the posterior state distribution cannot be closely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-07-25 Manuel Wüthrich , Jeannette Bohg , Daniel Kappler , Claudia Pfreundt , Stefan Schaal

Hyperuniform particle arrangements are characterized by a local number variance that grows more slowly than the volume of the observation window. We generalize this concept to describe particle systems in which particles carry weights:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-04 Salvatore Torquato , Jaeuk Kim , Michael A. Klatt , Roberto Car , Paul J. Steinhardt

We develop a simple and unified framework for nonlinear variable selection that incorporates uncertainty in the prediction function and is compatible with a wide range of machine learning models (e.g., tree ensembles, kernel methods, neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-30 Wenying Deng , Beau Coker , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Brent A. Coull

Complex dynamic systems can be investigated by fitting mechanistic stochastic dynamic models to time series data. In this context, commonly used Monte Carlo inference procedures for model selection and parameter estimation quickly become…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Jesse Wheeler , Aaron J. Abkemeier , Edward L. Ionides

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

This paper proposes a Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixture (PMBM) filter for coexisting point and extended targets, i.e., for scenarios where there may be simultaneous point and extended targets. The PMBM filter provides a recursion to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Jason L. Williams , Lennart Svensson , Yuxuan Xia

We consider a general framework for multi-type interacting particle systems on graphs, where particles move one at a time by random walk steps, different types may have different speeds, and may interact, possibly randomly, when they meet.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 John Haslegrave , Peter Keevash

Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott

State estimation is crucial for the performance and safety of numerous robotic applications. Among the suite of estimation techniques, particle filters have been identified as a powerful solution due to their non-parametric nature. Yet, in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Akhilan Boopathy , Aneesh Muppidi , Peggy Yang , Abhiram Iyer , William Yue , Ila Fiete

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide a flexible representation for real-world decision and control problems. However, POMDPs are notoriously difficult to solve, especially when the state and observation spaces are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Michael H. Lim , Tyler J. Becker , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Claire J. Tomlin , Zachary N. Sunberg

Interacting particle systems play a key role in science and engineering. Access to the governing particle interaction law is fundamental for a complete understanding of such systems. However, the inherent system complexity keeps the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhichao Han , David S. Kammer , Olga Fink

We develop a novel parallel resampling algorithm for fully parallelized particle filters, which is designed with GPUs (graphics processing units) or similar parallel computing devices in mind. With our new algorithm, a full cycle of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-17 Kenichiro McAlinn , Teruo Nakatsuma

When tracking a large number of targets, it is often computationally expensive to represent the full joint distribution over target states. In cases where the targets move independently, each target can instead be tracked with a separate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Hedvig Sidenbladh

Data-informed predictive maintenance planning largely relies on stochastic deterioration models. Monitoring information can be utilized to update sequentially the knowledge on time-invariant deterioration model parameters either within an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-02 Antonios Kamariotis , Luca Sardi , Iason Papaioannou , Eleni Chatzi , Daniel Straub