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Learning to control unknown nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control theory. A commonly applied approach is to first explore the environment (exploration), learn an accurate model of it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Andrew Wagenmaker , Guanya Shi , Kevin Jamieson

Regressing the vector field of a dynamical system from a finite number of observed states is a natural way to learn surrogate models for such systems. A simple and interpretable way to learn a dynamical system from data is to interpolate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Lu Yang , Xiuwen Sun , Boumediene Hamzi , Houman Owhadi , Naiming Xie

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

We propose an algorithm to actively estimate the parameters of a linear dynamical system. Given complete control over the system's input, our algorithm adaptively chooses the inputs to accelerate estimation. We show a finite time bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Andrew Wagenmaker , Kevin Jamieson

Previous results pertaining to algebraic state and parameter estimation of linear systems based on a special construction of a forward-backward kernel representation of linear differential invariants are extended to handle large noise in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-02 Debarshi Patanjali Ghoshal , Hannah Michalska

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

Identifying and calibrating quantitative dynamical models for physical quantum systems is important for a variety of applications. Here we present a closed-loop Bayesian learning algorithm for estimating multiple unknown parameters in a…

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Observable operator models (OOMs) and related models are one of the most important and powerful tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. They exactly describe dynamics of finite-rank systems and can be efficiently and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-22 Hao Wu , Frank Noé

We present an efficient convolution kernel for Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) on unstructured grids using parameterized differential operators while focusing on spherical signals such as panorama images or planetary signals. To this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Chiyu "Max" Jiang , Jingwei Huang , Karthik Kashinath , Prabhat , Philip Marcus , Matthias Niessner

We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

Statistical modeling of physical laws connects experiments with mathematical descriptions of natural phenomena. The modeling is based on the probability density of measured variables expressed by experimental data via a kernel estimator. As…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Igor Grabec

In responding to rating questions, an individual may give answers either according to his/her knowledge/awareness or to his/her level of indecision/uncertainty, typically driven by a response style. As ignoring this dual behaviour may lead…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano , Anna Gottard , Maria Iannario

Low-dimensional chaotic systems such as the Lorenz-63 model are commonly used to benchmark system-agnostic methods for learning dynamics from data. Here we show that learning from noise-free observations in such systems can be achieved up…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-15 Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

Complex models are often used to understand interactions and drivers of human-induced and/or natural phenomena. It is worth identifying the input variables that drive the model output(s) in a given domain and/or govern specific model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Matieyendou Lamboni

Kernel-based multivariate statistical process control (K-MSPC) extends classical monitoring to nonlinear industrial processes. Its performance depends critically on kernel parameters such as lengthscales and variance terms. In current…

One central theme in machine learning is function estimation from sparse and noisy data. An example is supervised learning where the elements of the training set are couples, each containing an input location and an output response. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alberto Giaretta , Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Sampling in control applications is increasingly done non-equidistantly in time. This includes applications in motion control, networked control, resource-aware control, and event-based control. Some of these applications, like the ones…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Rodrigo A. González , Koen Tiels , Tom Oomen

Change-point analysis plays a significant role in various fields to reveal discrepancies in distribution in a sequence of observations. While a number of algorithms have been proposed for high-dimensional data, kernel-based methods have not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen