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Calibrating the confidence of supervised learning models is important for a variety of contexts where the certainty over predictions should be reliable. However, it has been reported that deep neural network models are often too poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Changjian Shui , Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Jonathan Marek , Ihsen Hedhli , Christian Gagné

In chemometrics, data from infrared or near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy are often used to identify a compound or to analyze the composition of amaterial. This involves the calibration of models that predict the concentration ofmaterial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-20 A. Ukil , J. Bernasconi

Deep neural networks for medical image segmentation are often overconfident, compromising both reliability and clinical utility. In this work, we propose differentiable formulations of marginal L1 Average Calibration Error (mL1-ACE) as an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Theodore Barfoot , Luis C. Garcia-Peraza-Herrera , Samet Akcay , Ben Glocker , Tom Vercauteren

In the context of classification problems, Deep Learning (DL) approaches represent state of art. Many DL approaches are based on variations of standard multi-layer feed-forward neural networks. These are also referred to as deep networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Andrea Apicella , Francesco Isgrò , Roberto Prevete

The accuracy of deep learning, i.e., deep neural networks, can be characterized by dividing the total error into three main types: approximation error, optimization error, and generalization error. Whereas there are some satisfactory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-03 Pengzhan Jin , Lu Lu , Yifa Tang , George Em Karniadakis

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are powerful tools for various computer vision tasks, yet they often struggle with reliable uncertainty quantification - a critical requirement for real-world applications. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Gianni Franchi , Olivier Laurent , Maxence Leguéry , Andrei Bursuc , Andrea Pilzer , Angela Yao

The volume estimation of brain regions from MRI data is a key problem in many clinical applications, where the acquisition of data at high spatial resolution is desirable. While parallel MRI and constrained image reconstruction algorithms…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-20 Aniket Pramanik , Xiaodong Wu , Mathews Jacob

Deep Learning methods are known to suffer from calibration issues: they typically produce over-confident estimates. These problems are exacerbated in the low data regime. Although the calibration of probabilistic models is well studied,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Rahul Rahaman , Alexandre H. Thiery

We present a neural network based calibration method that performs the calibration task within a few milliseconds for the full implied volatility surface. The framework is consistently applicable throughout a range of volatility models…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Mehdi Tomas

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are notorious for making more mistakes for the classes that have substantially fewer samples than the others during training. Such class imbalance is ubiquitous in clinical applications and very crucial to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-06 Sara Sangalli , Ertunc Erdil , Andreas Hoetker , Olivio Donati , Ender Konukoglu

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Modern machine learning models with high accuracy are often miscalibrated -- the predicted top probability does not reflect the actual accuracy, and tends to be over-confident. It is commonly believed that such over-confidence is mainly due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong

Deep learning models often achieve expert-level accuracy in medical image classification but suffer from a critical flaw: semantic incoherence. These high-confidence mistakes that are semantically incoherent (e.g., classifying a malignant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Abolfazl Mohammadi-Seif , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Data-sparse settings such as robotic manipulation, molecular physics, and galaxy morphology classification are some of the hardest domains for deep learning. For these problems, equivariant networks can help improve modeling across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Edward Berman , Jacob Ginesin , Marco Pacini , Robin Walters

Despite their incredible performance, it is well reported that deep neural networks tend to be overoptimistic about their prediction confidence. Finding effective and efficient calibration methods for neural networks is therefore an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

The calibration and training of a neural network is a complex and time-consuming procedure that requires significant computational resources to achieve satisfactory results. Key obstacles are a large number of hyperparameters to select and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Gabriele Maroni , Loris Cannelli , Dario Piga , Simone Formentin

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

Semi-supervised learning has made significant strides in the medical domain since it alleviates the heavy burden of collecting abundant pixel-wise annotated data for semantic segmentation tasks. Existing semi-supervised approaches enhance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Xu Zheng , Chong Fu , Haoyu Xie , Jialei Chen , Xingwei Wang , Chiu-Wing Sham
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