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Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

Turbulence is of paramount importance in wildland fire propagation since it randomly transports the hot air mass that can pre-heat and then ignite the area ahead the fire. This contributes to give a random character to the firefront…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-08-27 Gianni Pagnini , Luca Massidda

Risk management in many environmental settings requires an understanding of the mechanisms that drive extreme events. Useful metrics for quantifying such risk are extreme quantiles of response variables conditioned on predictor variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Wildfire forecasting is notoriously hard due to the complex interplay of different factors such as weather conditions, vegetation types and human activities. Deep learning models show promise in dealing with this complexity by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Shan Zhao , Ioannis Prapas , Ilektra Karasante , Zhitong Xiong , Ioannis Papoutsis , Gustau Camps-Valls , Xiao Xiang Zhu

There have been many recent developments in the use of Deep Learning Neural Networks for fire detection. In this paper, we explore an early warning system for detection of forest fires. Due to the lack of sizeable datasets and models tuned…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sharjeel Ahmed , Daim Armaghan , Fatima Naweed , Umair Yousaf , Ahmad Zubair , Murtaza Taj

In this work we explore different Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures and their variants for non-temporal binary fire detection and localization in video or still imagery. We consider the performance of experimentally defined,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Ganesh Samarth C. A. , Neelanjan Bhowmik , Toby P. Breckon

The current WRF-Fire model starts the fire from a given ignition point at a given time. We want to start the model from a given fire perimeter at a given time instead. However, the fuel balance and the state of the atmosphere depend on the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-07-20 Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko , Jonathan D. Beezley , Adam K. Kochanski , Jan Mandel

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

Intelligent detection and processing capabilities can be instrumental to improving the safety, efficiency, and successful completion of rescue missions conducted by firefighters in emergency first response settings. The objective of this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Manish Bhattarai , Manel Martínez-Ramón

The devastating effects of wildfires on the wildlife and their impact on human lives and properties are undeniable. This shows the importance of studying the spread of wildfire, predicting its behavior and presenting more reliable models…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

Recent wildfires in Australia have led to considerable economic loss and property destruction, and there is increasing concern that climate change may exacerbate their intensity, duration, and frequency. Hazard quantification for extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-12 Daniela Cisneros , Jordan Richards , Ashok Dahal , Luigi Lombardo , Raphaël Huser

Early detection of wildfires is essential to prevent large-scale fires resulting in extensive environmental, structural, and societal damage. Uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) can cover large remote areas effectively with quick deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julius Pesonen , Teemu Hakala , Väinö Karjalainen , Niko Koivumäki , Lauri Markelin , Anna-Maria Raita-Hakola , Juha Suomalainen , Ilkka Pölönen , Eija Honkavaara

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

Detecting extreme events in large datasets is a major challenge in climate science research. Current algorithms for extreme event detection are build upon human expertise in defining events based on subjective thresholds of relevant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Yunjie Liu , Evan Racah , Prabhat , Joaquin Correa , Amir Khosrowshahi , David Lavers , Kenneth Kunkel , Michael Wehner , William Collins

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems. The growing risk of wildfires increases the demand for forecasting models that are not only accurate but also reliable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Spyros Kondylatos , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Cell2Fire is a new cell-based forest and wildland landscape fire growth simulator that is open-source and exploits parallelism to support the modelling of fire growth cross large spatial and temporal scales in a timely manner. The fire…

Fast and accurate prediction of hurricane evolution from genesis onwards is needed to reduce loss of life and enhance community resilience. In this work, a novel model development methodology for predicting storm trajectory is proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-25 Rikhi Bose , Adam Pintar , Emil Simiu

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft
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