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In this paper we study the impact of news media and public surveys on the electoral campaigns for political competitions. We present an agent-based model that addresses the effective influence of surveys in orienting the opinions of voters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-28 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

In content-based online platforms, use of aggregate user feedback (say, the sum of votes) is commonplace as the "gold standard" for measuring content quality. Use of vote aggregates, however, is at odds with the existing empirical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Himel Dev , Karrie Karahalios , Hari Sundaram

We study the problem of eliciting and aggregating probabilistic information from multiple agents. In order to successfully aggregate the predictions of agents, the principal needs to elicit some notion of confidence from agents, capturing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-03 Rafael M. Frongillo , Yiling Chen , Ian A. Kash

Iterative voting is a natural model of repeated strategic decision-making in social choice theory when agents have the opportunity to update their votes prior to finalizing the group decision. Prior work has analyzed the efficacy of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Joshua Kavner , Lirong Xia

We investigate opinion dynamics in a fully-connected system, consisting of $n$ identical and anonymous agents, where one of the opinions (which is called correct) represents a piece of information to disseminate. In more detail, one source…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Luca Becchetti , Andrea Clementi , Amos Korman , Francesco Pasquale , Luca Trevisan , Robin Vacus

Strategic voting, or manipulation, is the process by which a voter misrepresents his preferences in an attempt to elect an outcome that he considers preferable to the outcome under sincere voting. It is generally agreed that manipulation is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Egor Ianovski , Daria Teplova , Valeriia Kuka

We study how motivated reasoning affects the provision of climate policy in an electoral competition framework. Voters experience anticipatory disutility when future outcomes appear grim and may therefore distort beliefs in response to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Philipp Denter

Opinion formation is an important element of social dynamics. It has been widely studied in the last years with tools from physics, mathematics and computer science. Here, a continuous model of opinion dynamics for multiple possible choices…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Alina Sîrbu , Vittorio Loreto , Vito D. P. Servedio , Francesca Tria

Two of the main factors shaping an individual's opinion are social coordination and personal preferences, or personal biases. To understand the role of those and that of the topology of the network of interactions, we study an extension of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Filippo Zimmaro , Pierluigi Contucci , János Kertész

An algorithm effects a causal representation of relations between features and labels in the human's perception. Such a representation might conflict with the human's prior belief. Explanations can direct the human's attention to the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Charles Wan , Rodrigo Belo , Leid Zejnilović , Susana Lavado

The hypothesis of selective exposure assumes that people seek out information that supports their views and eschew information that conflicts with their beliefs, and that has negative consequences on our society. Few researchers have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-26 Jisun An , Daniele Quercia , Jon Crowcroft

We focus on the potential fragility of democratic elections given modern information-communication technologies (ICT) in the Web 2.0 era. Our work provides an explanation for the cascading attrition of public officials recently in the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-20 M. Amin Rahimian , Michael P. Colaresi

An agenda-setter repeatedly proposes a spatial policy to voters until some proposal is accepted. Voters have distinct but correlated preferences and receive private signals about the common state. I investigate whether the agenda-setter…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-12 Kirill S. Evdokimov

We consider the notions of agreement, diversity, and polarization in ordinal elections (that is, in elections where voters rank the candidates). While (computational) social choice offers good measures of agreement between the voters, such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Piotr Faliszewski , Andrzej Kaczmarczyk , Krzysztof Sornat , Stanisław Szufa , Tomasz Wąs

Political polarization has been a subject that has attracted many studies in recent years. We have developed an opinion dynamics model with affective homophily effect and national social norm effect to describe this phenomenon. The time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-03 Zhang Xiaoming , Hu Yuzhong , Zhang Yiming

Social media has been a paramount arena for election campaigns for political actors. While many studies have been paying attention to the political campaigns related to partisanship, politicians also can conduct different campaigns…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Taichi Murayama , Akira Matsui , Kunihiro Miyazaki , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

We investigate a variation of the classical voter model in which the set of influencing agents depends on an individual's current opinion. The initial population consists of a random sample of equally sized sub-populations for each state,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-30 Francisco J. Muñoz , Juan Carlos Nuño

Many networks do not live in isolation but are strongly interacting, with profound consequences on their dynamics. Here, we consider the case of two interacting social networks and, in the context of a simple model, we address the case of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Arda Halu , Kun Zhao , Andrea Baronchelli , Ginestra Bianconi

We study a variant of the voter model on a coevolving network in which interactions of two individuals with differing opinions only lead to an agreement on one of these opinions with a fixed probability $q$. Otherwise, with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Raphael Eichhorn , Felix Hermann , Marco Seiler

A community of agents is subject to a stream of messages, which are represented as points on a plane of issues. Messages are sent by media and by agents themselves. Messages from media shape the public opinion. They are unbiased, i.e.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-28 Krzysztof Malarz , Krzysztof Kulakowski