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Related papers: Data-driven Optimized Control of the COVID-19 Epid…

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Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

We present a data-driven optimal control approach which integrates the reported partial data with the epidemic dynamics for COVID-19. We use a basic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Hailiang Liu , Xuping Tian

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

We formulate an optimal control problem to determine the lockdown policy to curb an epidemic where other control measures are not available yet. We present a unified framework to model the epidemic and economy that allows us to study the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-20 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

This work introduces a novel epidemiological model that simultaneously considers multiple viral strains, reinfections due to waning immunity response over time and an optimal control formulation. This enables us to derive optimal mitigation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Edilson F. Arruda , Dayse H. Pastore , Clauda M. Dias , Shyam S. Das

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

As the COVID19 spreads across the world, prevention measures are becoming the essential weapons to combat the pandemic in the period of crisis. The lockdown measure is the most controversial one as it imposes an overwhelming impact on our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-12 Yuting Fu , Haitao Xiang , Hanqing Jin , Ning Wang

Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

While many efforts are currently devoted to vaccines development and administration, social distancing measures, including severe restrictions such as lockdowns, remain fundamental tools to contain the spread of COVID-19. A crucial point…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-03 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

We consider here an extended SIR model, including several features of the recent COVID-19 outbreak: in particular the infected and recovered individuals can either be detected (+) or undetected (-) and we also integrate an intensive care…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-25 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Mathieu Laurière , Viet Chi Tran

This work focuses on optimal controls of a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models under regime switching. By assuming that a decision maker can either influence the infectivity period or isolate infected individuals, our aim is to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Ky Tran , George Yin

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

We apply optimal control theory to a generalized SEIR-type model. The proposed system has three controls, representing social distancing, preventive means, and treatment measures to combat the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyze…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Mohamed Abdelaziz Zaitri , Mohand Ouamer Bibi , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this paper, we address a social planner's optimal control problem for a partially observable stochastic epidemic model. The control measures include social distancing, testing, and vaccination. Using a diffusion approximation for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ralf Wunderlich

After the COVID-19 pandemic, we saw an increase in demand for epidemiological mathematical models. The goal of this work is to study the optimal control for an age-structured model as a strategy of quarantine of infected people, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

COVID-19 is a global epidemic. Till now, there is no remedy for this epidemic. However, isolation and social distancing are seemed to be effective preventive measures to control this pandemic. Therefore, in this paper, an optimization…

The global COVID-19 pandemic (SARS-CoV-2 virus) is the defining health crisis of our century. Due to the absence of vaccines and drugs that can help to fight it, the world solution to control the spread has been to consider public social…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-22 Marcelo Menezes Morato , Saulo Benchimol Bastos , Daniel Oliveira Cajueiro , Julio Elias Normey-Rico

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

In this research paper we modify a classical SIR model to better adapt to the dynamics of COVID-19, that is we propose the heterogeneous SQAIRD model where COVID-19 spreads over a population of economic agents, namely: the elderly, adults…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Elena Gubar , Laura Policardo , Edgar J. Sanchez Carrera , Vladislav Taynitskiy

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez