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For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

A random phenomenon may have two sources of random variation: an unstable identity and a set of external variation-generating factors. When only a single source is active, two mutually exclusive extreme scenarios may ensue that result in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Haim Shore

In the framework of Cramer's probabilistic model of primes, we explore the exact and asymptotic distributions of maximal prime gaps. We show that the Gumbel extreme value distribution exp(-exp(-x)) is the limit law for maximal gaps between…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Alexei Kourbatov

The hybrid censoring is a mixture of Type I and Type II censoring schemes. This paper presents the statistical inferences of the Inverse Weibull distribution when the data are Type-I hybrid censored. First we consider the maximum likelihood…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-04-07 Mohammad Kazemi , Mina Azizpour

A 2022 paper arXiv:2009.10305v4 introduced the notion of true positive and negative skewness for continuous random variables via Fr\'echet $p$-means. In this work, we find novel criteria for true skewness, establish true skewness for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-23 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Alex Negrón , Clarice Pertel , Christopher Wang

The Gumbel-Softmax probability distribution allows learning discrete tokens in generative learning, while the Gumbel-Argmax probability distribution is useful in learning discrete structures in discriminative learning. Despite the efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Hedda Cohen Indelman , Tamir Hazan

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

In the context of stability of the extremes of a random variable X with respect to a positive integer valued random variable N we discuss the cases (i) X is exponential (ii) non-geometric laws for N (iii) identifying N for the stability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Satheesh , N. U. Nair

The maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions, where the derivative of the log-likelihood function is zero, over the complex field. This paper examines the maximum likelihood degree of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Extreme value analysis for time series is often based on the block maxima method, in particular for environmental applications. In the classical univariate case, the latter is based on fitting an extreme-value distribution to the sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Axel Bücher , Erik Haufs

Consider a rowwise independent triangular array of gamma random variables with varying parameters. Under several different conditions on the shape parameter, we show that the sequence of row-maximums converges weakly after linear or power…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

The exact distribution of the square sum of Dirichlet random variables is given by two different univariate integral representations. Alternatively, three representations by orthogonal series with Jacobi or Legendre polynomials are derived.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-25 Thomas Royen

The extreme statistics of time signals is studied when the maximum is measured from the initial value. In the case of independent, identically distributed (iid) variables, we classify the limiting distribution of the maximum according to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. W. Burkhardt , G. Gyorgyi , N. R. Moloney , Z. Racz

The statistical distribution of the ratio of two normal random variables is characterized by its heavy-tailed nature and absence of finite moments. The shape of its density function is highly variable, capable of exhibiting unimodal or…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Sheng Yang , Zhengtao Gui

This paper introduces a new generalization of the flexible Weibull distribution with three parameters this model called the Marshall-Olkin flexible Weibull extension (MO-FWE) distribution which exhibits bathtub-shaped hazard rate. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , Shamsan AL-Garash

We present some product representations for random variables with the Linnik, Mittag-Leffler and Weibull distributions and establish the relationship between the mixing distributions in these representations. Based on these representations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 V. Yu. Korolev , A. I. Zeifman

Preferential attachment is an appealing edge generating mechanism for modeling social networks. It provides both an intuitive description of network growth and an explanation for the observed power laws in degree distributions. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Phyllis Wan , Tiandong Wang , Richard A. Davis , Sidney I. Resnick

We consider quadratic forms of deterministic matrices $A$ evaluated at the random eigenvectors of a large $N \times N$ GOE or GUE matrix, or equivalently evaluated at the columns of a Haar-orthogonal or Haar-unitary random matrix. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Laszlo Erdos , Benjamin McKenna

The frequency of the preferred order for a noun phrase formed by demonstrative, numeral, adjective and noun has received significant attention over the last two decades. We investigate the actual distribution of the 24 possible orders.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Ramon Ferrer-i-Cancho

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh