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We consider the problem of state estimation from limited discrete and noisy measurements. In particular, we focus on modal state estimation, which approximates the unknown state of the system within a prescribed basis. We estimate the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Lev Kakasenko , Alen Alexanderian , Mohammad Farazmand , Arvind K. Saibaba

We present a comprehensive and pedagogical formulation of Bayesian multiparameter quantum estimation. Within this framework, we analyse the role of measurement incompatibility and establish its quantitative effect on attainable precision.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Francesco Albarelli , Dominic Branford , Jesús Rubio

Non-Gaussian Bayesian filtering is a core problem in stochastic filtering. The difficulty of the problem lies in parameterizing the state estimates. However the existing methods are not able to treat it well. We propose to use power moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Guangyu Wu , Anders Lindquist

Bayesian statistics is an integral part of contemporary applied science. bayesics provides a single framework, unified in syntax and output, for performing the most commonly used statistical procedures, ranging from one- and two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Daniel K. Sewell , Alan T. Arakkal

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Using quantum systems as sensors or probes has been shown to greatly improve the precision of parameter estimation by exploiting unique quantum features such as entanglement. A major task in quantum sensing is to design the optimal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Jessica Bavaresco , Patryk Lipka-Bartosik , Pavel Sekatski , Mohammad Mehboudi

We present filtering equations for single shot parameter estimation using continuous quantum measurement. By embedding parameter estimation in the standard quantum filtering formalism, we derive the optimal Bayesian filter for cases when…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-02-13 Bradley A. Chase , J. M. Geremia

Gaussian processes that can be decomposed into a smooth mean function and a stationary autocorrelated noise process are considered and a fully automatic nonparametric method to simultaneous estimation of mean and auto-covariance functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Tatyana Krivobokova , Paulo Serra , Francisco Rosales , Karolina Klockmann

Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

The quantum Cram\'er-Rao theorem states that the quantum Fisher information (QFI) bounds the best achievable precision in the estimation of a quantum parameter $\xi$. This is true, however, under the assumption that the measurement employed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Luigi Seveso , Matteo G. A. Paris

This document presents the statistical methods used to process low-level measurements in the presence of noise. These methods can be classical or Bayesian. The question is placed in the general framework of the problem of nuisance…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-03-20 Guillaume Manificat , Salima Helali , Patrick Bouisset

For a fixed average energy, the simultaneous estimation of multiple phases can provide a better total precision than estimating them individually. We show this for a multimode interferometer with a phase in each mode, using Gaussian inputs…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-03 Christos N. Gagatsos , Dominic Branford , Animesh Datta

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

A recently proposed phase-estimation protocol that is based on measuring the parity of a two-mode squeezed-vacuum state at the output of a Mach-Zehnder interferometer shows that Cram\'{e}r-Rao bound sensitivity can be obtained [P.\ M.\…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-09-10 Keith R. Motes , Petr M. Anisimov , Jonathan P. Dowling

Given a single copy of a mixed state of the form \rho=\lambda\rho_1+(1-\lambda)\rho_2, what is the optimal measurement to estimate the parameter \lambda, if \rho_1 and \rho_2 are known? We present a general strategy to obtain the optimal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-06-13 Thomas Konrad , Otfried Gühne , Jürgen Audretsch , Hans J. Briegel

Global quantum sensing enables parameter estimation across arbitrary ranges with a finite number of measurements. Among the various existing formulations, the Bayesian paradigm stands as a flexible approach for optimal protocol design under…

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan