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Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

Quantum Cram\'er--Rao theory is intrinsically local: it bounds precision near a specified parameter value, and its saturating measurement generally depends on that value. Barankin-type bounds use finite parameter displacements, but remain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Hai-Long Shi , Augusto Smerzi

In this paper we consider the problem of tracking the state of a quantum system via a continuous measurement. If the system Hamiltonian is known precisely, this merely requires integrating the appropriate stochastic master equation.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-11-29 Jason F. Ralph , Kurt Jacobs , Charles D. Hill

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

Bounding the optimal precision in parameter estimation tasks is of central importance for technological applications. In the regime of a small number of measurements, or that of low signal-to-noise ratios, the meaning of common frequentist…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-23 Valentin Gebhart , Manuel Gessner , Augusto Smerzi

The problems of optimally estimating a phase, a direction, and the orientation of a Cartesian frame (or trihedron) with general pure states are addressed. Special emphasis is put on estimation schemes that allow for inconclusive answers or…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-08-09 B. Gendra , E. Ronco-Bonvehi , J. Calsamiglia , R. Muñoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

We address the characterization of qubit chains and assess the performances of local measurements compared to those provided by Feynman probes, i.e. nonlocal measurements realized by coupling a single qubit regis- ter to the chain. We show…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-17 D. Tamascelli , C. Benedetti , S. Olivares , M. G. A. Paris

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This review aims at gathering the most relevant quantum multi-parameter estimation methods that go beyond the direct use of the Quantum Fisher Information concept. We discuss in detail the Holevo Cram\'er-Rao bound, the Quantum Local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski , Wojciech Gorecki , Madalin Guta

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a large but finite number $N$ of identical quantum systems. In the limit of large $N$ the problem simplifies. In particular the only relevant measure of the quality of the estimation is the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-12-18 R. D. Gill , S. Massar

This paper presents a Bayesian parameter estimation approach and identifiability analysis for a lithium-ion battery model, to determine the uniqueness, evaluate the sensitivity and quantify the uncertainty of a subset of the model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-04 Antti Aitio , Scott G. Marquis , Pedro Ascencio , David Howey

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang
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