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Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

In presence of unstable dimension variability numerical solutions of chaotic systems are valid only for short periods of observation. For this reason, analytical results for systems that exhibit this phenomenon are needed. Aiming to go one…

We introduce a continuous-time random walk model on an infinite multilayer structure inspired by transportation networks. Each layer is a copy of $\mathbb{R}^d$, indexed by a non-negative integer. A walker moves within a layer by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Alessandra Bianchi , Marco Lenci , Françoise Pène

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

Metastability in open system dynamics describes the phenomena of initial relaxation to longlived metastable states before decaying to the asymptotic stable states. It has been predicted in continuous-time stochastic dynamics of both…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-10 Yuan-De Jin , Chu-Dan Qiu , Wen-Long Ma

The escape probability $\xi_{x}$ from a site $x$ of a one-dimensional disordered lattice with trapping is treated as a discrete dynamical evolution by random iterations over nonlinear maps parametrized by the right and left jump…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Thomas Wichmann , Achille Giacometti , K. P. N. Murthy

We study the hitting times of Markov processes to target set $G$, starting from a reference configuration $x_0$ or its basin of attraction. The configuration $x_0$ can correspond to the bottom of a (meta)stable well, while the target $G$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-11 R. Fernandez , F. Manzo , F. R. Nardi , E. Scoppola

We consider random walks on dynamical networks where edges appear and disappear during finite time intervals. The process is grounded on three independent stochastic processes determining the walker's waiting-time, the up-time and down-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-28 Julien Petit , Martin Gueuning , Timoteo Carletti , Ben Lauwens , Renaud Lambiotte

The propagation of an initially localized perturbation via an interacting many-particle Hamiltonian dynamics is investigated. We argue that the propagation of the perturbation can be captured by the use of a continuous-time random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-11 V. Zaburdaev , S. Denisov , P. Hanggi

We consider conservative cross-diffusion systems for two species where individual motion rates depend linearly on the local density of the other species. We develop duality estimates and obtain stability and approximation results. We first…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Vincent Bansaye , Ayman Moussa , Felipe Muñoz-Hernández

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim

Sparsity is a common issue in many trajectory datasets, including human mobility data. This issue frequently brings more difficulty to relevant learning tasks, such as trajectory imputation and prediction. Nowadays, little existing work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Kyle K. Qin , Yongli Ren , Wei Shao , Brennan Lake , Filippo Privitera , Flora D. Salim

The work treats systems combining slow and fast motions depending on each other where fast motions are perturbations of families of either dynamical systems or Markov processes with freezed slow variable. In the first case we consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer

We explore the properties of discrete-time stochastic processes with a bounded state space, whose deterministic limit is given by a map of the unit interval. We find that, in the mesoscopic description of the system, the large jumps between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-22 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The problem of behaviour prediction for linear parameter-varying systems is considered in the interval framework. It is assumed that the system is subject to uncertain inputs and the vector of scheduling parameters is unmeasurable, but all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Tarek Raïssi , Wilfrid Perruquetti

Learning a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from a fixed batch of trajectories is a non-trivial task whose outcome's quality depends on both the amount and the diversity of the sampled regions of the state-action space. Yet, many MDPs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline P. C. Chanel

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

Dynamic systems characterized by diversified evolutions are not only more flexible, but also more resilient to attacks, failures and changing conditions. This article addresses the quantification of the diversity of non-linear transient…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-01-07 Luciano da Fontoura Costa

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong
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